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We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

Distributed Generation (DG) is an effective way of integrating renewable energy sources to conventional power grid, which improves the reliability and efficiency of power systems. Photovoltaic (PV) systems are ideal DGs thanks to their…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-09-28 Zhehan Yi , Wanxin Dong , Amir H. Etemadi

The operation of power systems is affected by diverse technical, economic and social factors. Social behaviour determines load patterns, electricity markets regulate the generation and weather-dependent renewables introduce power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-04 Johannes Kruse , Eike Cramer , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

A prognostic watch of the electric power system (EPS)is framed up, which detects the threat to EPS for a day ahead according to the characteristic times for a day ahead and according to the droop for a day ahead. Therefore, a prognostic…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-11-26 Stefan Z. Stefanov

Dust storms are common in arid zones on the earth and others planets such as Mars. The impact of dust storms on solar radiation has significant implications for solar power plants and autonomous vehicles powered by solar panels. This paper…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-09-03 B. Ravindra

Renewable energy technologies including solar and wind inevitably play a leading role in meeting the growing demand for a decarbonized and clean power grid. However, these technologies are highly dependent of meteorological conditions of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-02 Simon Julien , Amirhossein Sajadi , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Urgent applications like wildfire management and renewable energy generation require precise, localized weather forecasts near the Earth's surface. However, forecasts produced by machine learning models or numerical weather prediction…

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Accurate generation of realistic future scenarios of renewable energy generation is crucial for long-term planning and operation of electrical systems, especially considering the increasing focus on sustainable energy and the growing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-30 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

Due to the limitation of data availability, traditional power load forecasting methods focus more on studying the load variation pattern and the influence of only a few factors such as temperature and holidays, which fail to reveal the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-24 Pan Zeng , Md Fazla Elahe , Junlin Xu , Min Jin

The price of solar panels is decreasing rapidly and governments around the world are investing in solar power plants to increase the portion of solar energy in the smart grid. The price of electricity produced by solar power plants is much…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-12 Muhammad Hamad Zaheer

Rapid increase in the number of photo voltaic systems (PVSs) across the low voltage distribution systems required real-time monitoring of those systems. However, considering the necessary investment cost, real-time monitoring infrastructure…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-08 Soheil Pouraltafi-kheljan , Murat Göl

Solar photovoltaic power generation has achieved grid parity in a number of countries during the last decade. This revolution has begun in countries where the solar radiation intensity is not very high. Solar resource maps created by a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-10-12 B. Ravindra

The prediction of solar flares, eruptions, and high energy particle storms is of great societal importance. The data mining approach to forecasting has been shown to be very promising. Benchmark datasets are a key element in the further…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-08-22 Petrus C. Martens , Rafal A. Angryk

As the US rapidly moves towards cleaner energy sources, solar energy is fast becoming the pillar of its renewable energy mix. Even while solar energy is increasingly being used, its variability is a key hindrance to grid stability, storage…

We evaluate the following Machine Learning techniques for Green Energy (Wind, Solar) Prediction: Bayesian Inference, Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, Clustering techniques (PCA). Our objective is to predict green energy using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-06-17 Ankur Sahai

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Long-term sensor network deployments demand careful power management. While managing power requires understanding the amount of energy harvestable from the local environment, current solar prediction methods rely only on recent local…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2014-10-28 Elizabeth Basha , Raja Jurdak , Daniela Rus

Building Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV) is a promising technology to decarbonize urban energy systems via harnessing solar energy available on building envelopes. While methods to assess solar irradiation, especially on rooftops, are well…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Yufei Zhang , Arno Schlüter , Christoph Waibel