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Short-term forecasting of solar photovoltaic energy (PV) production is important for powerplant management. Ideally these forecasts are equipped with error bars, so that downstream decisions can account for uncertainty. To produce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-31 Sean Nassimiha , Peter Dudfield , Jack Kelly , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Renewable Energies (RES) penetration is progressing rapidly: in France, the installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) power rose from 26MW in 2007 to 8GW in 2017 [1]. Power generated by PV plants being highly dependent on variable weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Kevin Bellinguer , Robin Girard , Guillaume Bontron , Georges Kariniotakis

Renewable Energies (RE) have gained more attention in recent years since they offer clean and sustainable energy. One of the major sustainable development goals (SDG-7) set by the United Nations (UN) is to achieve affordable and clean…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-27 Mehdi Hatamian , Bivas Panigrahi , Chinmaya Kumar Dehury

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

This paper develops probabilistic PV forecasters by taking advantage of recent breakthroughs in deep learning. It tailored forecasting tool, named encoder-decoder, is implemented to compute intraday multi-output PV quantiles forecasts to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-01 Jonathan Dumas , Colin Cointe , Xavier Fettweis , Bertrand Cornélusse

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to…

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

The challenges in applications of solar energy lies in its intermittency and dependency on meteorological parameters such as; solar radiation, ambient temperature, rainfall, wind-speed etc., and many other physical parameters like dust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Debojyoti Chakraborty , Jayeeta Mondal , Hrishav Bakul Barua , Ankur Bhattacharjee

Solar energy forecasting has seen tremendous growth in the last decade using historical time series collected from a weather station, such as weather variables wind speed and direction, solar radiance, and temperature. It helps in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Soham Vyas , Yuvraj Goyal , Neel Bhatt , Sanskar Bhuwania , Hardik Patel , Shakti Mishra , Brijesh Tripathi

Accurate PhotoVoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is vital for the efficient operation of Smart Grids. The automated design of such accurate forecasting models for individual PV plants includes two challenges: First, information about…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Stefan Meisenbacher , Benedikt Heidrich , Tim Martin , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

To cater the rapidly growing demand for electricity leading to the integration of renewable energy sources in power system. Due to intermittent nature of renewables, it also brings challenges for research community during the planning and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-14 Rustam Kumar

This paper presents a classical estimation problem for calculating the energy generated by photovoltaic solar energy systems in the Netherlands, on a daily, annual and regional basis. We identify two data sources to construct our…

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

The energy market relies on forecasting capabilities of both demand and power generation that need to be kept in dynamic balance. Today, when it comes to renewable energy generation, such decisions are increasingly made in a liberalized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-15 Odin Foldvik Eikeland , Finn Dag Hovem , Tom Eirik Olsen , Matteo Chiesa , Filippo Maria Bianchi

We present a novel framework for spatiotemporal photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and use it to evaluate the reliability, sharpness, and overall performance of seven intraday PV power nowcasting models. The model suite includes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Luca Lanzilao , Angela Meyer

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Linyuan Geng , Linxiao Yang , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun