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Risk assessment across industries is paramount for ensuring a robust and sustainable economy. While previous studies have relied heavily on official statistics for their accuracy, they often lag behind real-time developments. Addressing…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-16 Hongyin Zhu

This paper introduces StockGPT, an autoregressive ``number'' model trained and tested on 70 million daily U.S.\ stock returns over nearly 100 years. Treating each return series as a sequence of tokens, StockGPT automatically learns the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-24 Dat Mai

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

Maintaining financial system stability is critical to economic development, and early identification of risks and opportunities is essential. The financial industry contains a wide variety of data, such as financial statements, customer…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Hongyin Zhu

The increasing influence of unstructured external information, such as news articles, on stock prices has attracted growing attention in financial markets. Despite recent advances, most existing newsbased forecasting models represent all…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Jinwoong Kim , Sangjin Park

Accurately predicting short-term stock price movement remains a challenging task due to the market's inherent volatility and sensitivity to investor sentiment. This paper discusses a deep learning framework that integrates emotion features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 An Vuong , Susan Gauch

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis a set of 5 technical indicators and 23 fundamental indicators was identified to establish the possibility of generating excess returns on the stock market. Leveraging these data points and various…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-17 Jaideep Singh , Matloob Khushi

Investors are interested in predicting future success of startup companies, preferably using publicly available data which can be gathered using free online sources. Using public-only data has been shown to work, but there is still much…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Emily Gavrilenko , Foaad Khosmood , Mahdi Rastad , Sadra Amiri Moghaddam

We revisit the problem of predicting directional movements of stock prices based on news articles: here our algorithm uses daily articles from The Wall Street Journal to predict the closing stock prices on the same day. We propose a unified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-07-03 Felix Ming Fai Wong , Zhenming Liu , Mung Chiang

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Stock price movements are influenced by many factors, and alongside historical price data, tex-tual information is a key source. Public news and social media offer valuable insights into market sentiment and emerging events. These sources…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Wenyan Xu , Dawei Xiang , Rundong Wang , Yonghong Hu , Liang Zhang , Jiayu Chen , Zhonghua Lu

Forecasting the trend of stock prices is an enduring topic at the intersection of finance and computer science. Periodical updates to forecasters have proven effective in handling concept drifts arising from non-stationary markets. However,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-18 Shiluo Huang , Zheng Liu , Ye Deng , Qing Li

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

Studies conducted on financial market prediction lack a comprehensive feature set that can carry a broad range of contributing factors; therefore, leading to imprecise results. Furthermore, while cooperating with the most recent innovations…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-05-17 Amirhossein Aminimehr , Amin Aminimehr , Hamid Moradi Kamali , Sauleh Eetemadi , Saeid Hoseinzade

Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-12 Faraz Sasani , Ramin Mousa , Ali Karkehabadi , Samin Dehbashi , Ali Mohammadi

Applying a network analysis to stock return correlations, we study the dynamical properties of the network and how they correlate with the market return, finding meaningful variables that partially capture the complex dynamical processes of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-22 Ixandra Achitouv