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Violations of the positivity assumption can render conventional causal estimands unidentifiable, including the average treatment effect (ATE), the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT), and the average treatment effect on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Yi Liu , Yuan Wang , Ying Gao , Tonia Poteat , Roland A. Matsouaka

The use of propensity score (PS) methods has become ubiquitous in causal inference. At the heart of these methods is the positivity assumption. Violation of the positivity assumption leads to the presence of extreme PS weights when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Yi Liu , Huiyue Li , Yunji Zhou , Roland Matsouaka

Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation, at the heart of counterfactual reasoning, is a crucial challenge for causal modeling both theoretically and applicatively, in domains such as healthcare, sociology, or advertising.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Armand Lacombe , Michèle Sebag

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

Despite alarm over the reliance of machine learning systems on so-called spurious patterns, the term lacks coherent meaning in standard statistical frameworks. However, the language of causality offers clarity: spurious associations are due…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Divyansh Kaushik , Eduard Hovy , Zachary C. Lipton

Propensity score methods have been shown to be powerful in obtaining efficient estimators of average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data, especially under the existence of confounding factors. When estimating, deciding which type…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Kangjie Zhou , Jinzhu Jia

While large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in language modeling, recent studies reveal that they often fail on out-of-distribution (OOD) samples due to spurious correlations acquired during pre-training.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Shurui Gui , Shuiwang Ji

Causal interventions in language model representations have largely targeted discrete features, like grammatical number. However, language models must also make use of features that are graded. We introduce a method for causal intervention…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Zhenghao Herbert Zhou , R. Thomas McCoy , Robert Frank

We propose CHRT (Control Hidden Representation Transformation) - a controlled language generation framework that steers large language models to generate text pertaining to certain attributes (such as toxicity). CHRT gains attribute control…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Vaibhav Kumar , Hana Koorehdavoudi , Masud Moshtaghi , Amita Misra , Ankit Chadha , Emilio Ferrara

Since the average treatment effect (ATE) measures the change in social welfare, even if positive, there is a risk of negative effect on, say, some 10% of the population. Assessing such risk is difficult, however, because any one individual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-20 Nathan Kallus

Competing risk is a common phenomenon when dealing with time-to-event outcomes in biostatistical applications. An attractive estimand in this setting is the "number of life-years lost due to a specific cause of death", Andersen et al.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Simon Christoffer Ziersen , Torben Martinussen

Controllable text generation systems often leverage control codes to direct various properties of the output like style and length. Inspired by recent work on causal inference for NLP, this paper reveals a previously overlooked flaw in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-10-10 Junyi Chai , Reid Pryzant , Victor Ye Dong , Konstantin Golobokov , Chenguang Zhu , Yi Liu

Real-World Data (RWD), with its large sample sizes and rich clinical detail, offers a compelling alternative to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for studying treatment effects in diverse and complex patient populations. However, its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Yifei Xu , Hwiyoung Lee , Zhenyao Ye , Yezhi Pan , Jingsong Zhou , Yun Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Adapting to latent confounded shift remains a core challenge in modern AI. This setting is driven by hidden variables that induce spurious correlations between inputs and outputs during training, leading models to rely on non-causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Jialin Yu , Yuxiang Zhou , Haoxuan Li , Junchi Yu , Mengyue Yang , Yulan He , Nevin L. Zhang , Philip Torr , Ricardo Silva

Augmented inverse probability weighting and G-computation with canonical generalized linear models have become increasingly popular for estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) in randomized experiments. These methods leverage outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Muluneh Alene , Stijn Vansteelandt , Kelly Van Lancker

Randomized experiments or randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are gold standards for causal inference, yet cost and sample-size constraints limit power. We introduce CALM (Causal Analysis leveraging Language Models), a statistical framework…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Xinrui Ruan , Xinwei Ma , Yingfei Wang , Waverly Wei , Jingshen Wang

Causal inference from observational data can be viewed as a missing data problem arising from a hypothetical population-scale randomized trial matched to the observational study. This links a target trial protocol with a corresponding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-27 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Stephen Walker , Chris Holmes

Controlled Text Generation (CTG) aims to produce texts that exhibit specific desired attributes. In this study, we introduce a pluggable CTG framework for Large Language Models (LLMs) named Dynamic Attribute Graphs-based controlled text…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-05-27 Xun Liang , Hanyu Wang , Shichao Song , Mengting Hu , Xunzhi Wang , Zhiyu Li , Feiyu Xiong , Bo Tang

We introduce CGA, a conditional VAE architecture, to control, generate, and augment text. CGA is able to generate natural English sentences controlling multiple semantic and syntactic attributes by combining adversarial learning with a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Giuseppe Russo , Nora Hollenstein , Claudiu Musat , Ce Zhang

Estimating the conditional average treatment effects (CATE) is very important in causal inference and has a wide range of applications across many fields. In the estimation process of CATE, the unconfoundedness assumption is typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Pengfei Shi , Wei Zhong , Xinyu Zhang , Ningtao Wang , Xing Fu , Weiqiang Wang , Yin Jin