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Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

One of the main questions regarding complex systems at large scales concerns the effective interactions and driving forces that emerge from the detailed microscopic properties. Coarse-grained models aim to describe complex systems in terms…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Elham Kiyani , Steven Silber , Mahdi Kooshkbaghi , Mikko Karttunen

Accurate household electricity short-term load forecasting (STLF) is key to future and sustainable energy systems. While various studies have analyzed statistical, machine learning, or deep learning approaches for household electricity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Marcel Meyer , David Zapata , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Oliver Müller

Hypergraphs are vital in modelling data with higher-order relations containing more than two entities, gaining prominence in machine learning and signal processing. Many hypergraph neural networks leverage message passing over hypergraph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-09 Bohan Tang , Siheng Chen , Xiaowen Dong

Time series forecasting is a critical task that provides key information for decision-making. After traditional statistical and machine learning approaches, various fundamental deep learning architectures such as MLPs, CNNs, RNNs, and GNNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Jongseon Kim , Hyungjoon Kim , HyunGi Kim , Dongjun Lee , Sungroh Yoon

Delivering precise point and distributional forecasts across a spectrum of prediction horizons represents a significant and enduring challenge in the application of time-series forecasting within various industries. Prior research on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Jiawen Zhang , Xumeng Wen , Zhenwei Zhang , Shun Zheng , Jia Li , Jiang Bian

Training a general-purpose time series foundation models with robust generalization capabilities across diverse applications from scratch is still an open challenge. Efforts are primarily focused on fusing cross-domain time series datasets…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

Random functional-linked types of neural networks (RFLNNs), e.g., the extreme learning machine (ELM) and broad learning system (BLS), which avoid suffering from a time-consuming training process, offer an alternative way of learning in deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Guang-Yong Chen , Yong-Hang Yu , Min Gan , C. L. Philip Chen , Wenzhong Guo

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Pre-trained foundation models (FMs) have shown exceptional performance in univariate time series forecasting tasks. However, several practical challenges persist, including managing intricate dependencies among features and quantifying…

Time-series forecasting finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Due to the dynamic nature of time series data, it is important for time-series forecasting models to handle potential distribution shifts over time. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , B. Aditya Prakash

While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Ziheng Peng , Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Linxiao Yang , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun

Urban forecasting models often face a severe data imbalance problem: only a few cities have dense, long-span records, while many others expose short or incomplete histories. Direct transfer from data-rich to data-scarce cities is unreliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Yue Jiang , Chenxi Liu , Yile Chen , Qin Chao , Shuai Liu , Cheng Long , Gao Cong

Multivariate Time Series Classification (MTSC) is crucial in extensive practical applications, such as environmental monitoring, medical EEG analysis, and action recognition. Real-world time series datasets typically exhibit complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Yang Mu , Muhammad Shahzad , Xiao Xiang Zhu

In this study, MLP models with dynamic structure are applied to factor models for asset pricing tasks. Concretely, the MLP pyramid model structure was employed on firm-characteristic-sorted portfolio factors for modelling the large-capital…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-05-07 Shanyan Lai

Traditional Transformers face a major bottleneck in long-sequence time series forecasting due to their quadratic complexity $(\mathcal{O}(T^2))$ and their limited ability to effectively exploit frequency-domain information. Inspired by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Qingyuan Yang , Shizhuo Deng , Dongyue Chen , Da Teng , Zehua Gan

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang