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Estimating the effect of a treatment on a given outcome, conditioned on a vector of covariates, is central in many applications. However, learning the impact of a treatment on a continuous temporal response, when the covariates suffer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-11 Guangyi Zhang , Reza Ashrafi , Anne Juuti , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Describing dynamic medical systems using machine learning is a challenging topic with a wide range of applications. In this work, the possibility of modeling the blood glucose level of diabetic patients purely on the basis of measured data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-10 David Jödicke , Daniel Parra , Gabriel Kronberger , Stephan Winkler

Traditional models of glucose-insulin dynamics rely on heuristic parameterizations chosen to fit observations within a laboratory setting. However, these models cannot describe glucose dynamics in daily life. One source of failure is in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-17 Ke Alexander Wang , Matthew E. Levine , Jiaxin Shi , Emily B. Fox

The goal of this paper is to propose a new mathematical model for the combined effect of different treatments and lifestyles on the glucose-insulin dynamics of Type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients. The model gives the possibility to take into…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-11 Mohamad Al Ahdab , John Leth , Torben Knudsen , Peter Vestergaard , Henrik Clausen

Effective dietary monitoring is critical for managing Type 2 diabetes, yet accurately estimating caloric intake remains a major challenge. While continuous glucose monitors (CGMs) offer valuable physiological data, they often fall short in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Adarsh Kumar

A treatment policy defines when and what treatments are applied to affect some outcome of interest. Data-driven decision-making requires the ability to predict what happens if a policy is changed. Existing methods that predict how the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Çağlar Hızlı , ST John , Anne Juuti , Tuure Saarinen , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Performing causal inference in observational studies requires we assume confounding variables are correctly adjusted for. G-computation methods are often used in these scenarios, with several recent proposals using Bayesian versions of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-25 Daniel Daly-Grafstein , Paul Gustafson

We develop a new model of insulin-glucose dynamics for forecasting blood glucose in type 1 diabetics. We augment an existing biomedical model by introducing time-varying dynamics driven by a machine learning sequence model. Our model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-10 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily Fox

Large observational data are increasingly available in disciplines such as health, economic and social sciences, where researchers are interested in causal questions rather than prediction. In this paper, we examine the problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Alberto Caron , Gianluca Baio , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Diabetes is a serious chronic metabolic disease. In the recent years, more and more consumer technology enterprises focusing on human health are committed to implementing accurate and non-invasive blood glucose algorithm in their products.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Yiting Wei , Bingo Wing-Kuen Ling , Qing Liu , Jiaxin Liu

Consumption of diets with low glycemic impact is highly recommended for diabetics and pre-diabetics as it helps maintain their blood glucose levels. However, laboratory analysis of dietary glycemic potency is time-consuming and expensive.…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-10-28 Helena Lee , Palakorn Achananuparp , Yue Liu , Ee-Peng Lim , Lav R. Varshney

Deep learning models achieve state-of-the art results in predicting blood glucose trajectories, with a wide range of architectures being proposed. However, the adaptation of such models in clinical practice is slow, largely due to the lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-08 Renat Sergazinov , Mohammadreza Armandpour , Irina Gaynanova

We present and critically discuss five commonly used mathematical models of the meal glucose rate of appearance in humans. Such models are key to simulation of the metabolism in healthy people, people with diabetes, and obese people, and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-01 Tobias K. S. Ritschel , Asbjørn Thode Reenberg , Peter Emil Carstensen , Jacob Bendsen , John Bagterp Jørgensen

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

The mathematical modelling of biological systems has historically followed one of two approaches: comprehensive and minimal. In comprehensive models, the involved biological pathways are modelled independently, then brought together as an…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-11-16 Eric Ng , Jaycee Morgan Kaufman , Lennaert van Veen , Yan Fossat

Motivation: There is a growing need to integrate mechanistic models of biological processes with computational methods in healthcare in order to improve prediction. We apply data assimilation in the context of Type 2 diabetes to understand…

Sustained high levels of blood glucose in type 2 diabetes (T2DM) can have disastrous long-term health consequences. An essential component of clinical interventions for T2DM is monitoring dietary intake to keep plasma glucose levels within…

Nonlinear mixed effects models represent a powerful tool to simultaneously analyze data from several individuals. In this study a compartmental model of leucine kinetics is examined and extended with a stochastic differential equation to…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-01-05 Martin Berglund , Mikael Sunnåker , Martin Adiels , Mats Jirstrand , Bernt Wennberg

One of the major research questions regarding human microbiome studies is the feasibility of designing interventions that modulate the composition of the microbiome to promote health and cure disease. This requires extensive understanding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Matthew D. Koslovsky , Kristi L. Hoffman , Carrie R. Daniel , Marina Vannucci

Diabetes mellitus is a disease that affects to hundreds of millions of people worldwide. Maintaining a good control of the disease is critical to avoid severe long-term complications. In recent years, several artificial pancreas systems…

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