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The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

Machine learning models play a key role for service providers looking to gain market share in consumer markets. However, traditional learning approaches do not take into account the existence of additional providers, who compete with each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Ohad Einav , Nir Rosenfeld

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

We address the need for forecasting methodologies that handle large uncertainties in electricity prices for continuous intraday markets by incorporating parameter uncertainty and using a broad set of covariables. This study presents the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Daniel Nickelsen , Gernot Müller

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is vital for short-term electricity markets, yet the multivariate nature of day-ahead prices - spanning 24 consecutive hours - remains underexplored. At the same time, real-time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch

Because of increasing amounts of intermittent and distributed generators in power systems, many demand response programs have been developed to schedule flexible energy consumption. However, proper benchmarks for comparing these methods are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-19 Koos van der Linden , Natalia Romero , Mathijs M. de Weerdt

The most commonly used form of regularization typically involves defining the penalty function as a L1 or L2 norm. However, numerous alternative approaches remain untested in practical applications. In this study, we apply ten different…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Bartosz Uniejewski

Accurate electricity price forecasting is the main management goal for market participants since it represents the fundamental basis to maximize the profits for market players. However, electricity is a non-storable commodity and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-21 Souhir Ben Amor , Heni Boubaker , Lotfi Belkacem

Electricity prices in liberalized markets are determined by the supply and demand for electric power, which are in turn driven by various external influences that vary strongly in time. In perfect competition, the merit order principle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-12 Julius Trebbien , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Aaron Praktiknjo , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Accurate forecasts of electricity prices are crucial for the management of electric power systems and the development of smart applications. European electricity prices have risen substantially and became highly volatile after the Russian…

In machine learning, a bias occurs whenever training sets are not representative for the test data, which results in unreliable models. The most common biases in data are arguably class imbalance and covariate shift. In this work, we aim to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Patrick Glauner , Radu State , Petko Valtchev , Diogo Duarte

The $\textit{data market design}$ problem is a problem in economic theory to find a set of signaling schemes (statistical experiments) to maximize expected revenue to the information seller, where each experiment reveals some of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Yanchen Jiang , David C. Parkes

This paper contributes to the literature on parametric demand estimation by using deep learning to model consumer preferences. Traditional econometric methods often struggle with limited within-product price variation, a challenge addressed…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-16 Kirill Safonov

Recent progress in the field of artificial intelligence, machine learning and also in computer industry resulted in the ongoing boom of using these techniques as applied to solving complex tasks in both science and industry. Same is, of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-11 A Itkin

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

We study the pricing behavior of third-party platforms facing strategic agents. Assuming the platform is a revenue maximizer, it observes market features that generally affect demand. Since only the equilibrium price and quantity are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Rui Ai , David Simchi-Levi , Feng Zhu