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With the growing needs of online A/B testing to support the innovation in industry, the opportunity cost of running an experiment becomes non-negligible. Therefore, there is an increasing demand for an efficient continuous monitoring…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Runzhe Wan , Yu Liu , James McQueen , Doug Hains , Rui Song

Online A/B tests have become increasingly popular and important for social platforms. However, accurately estimating the global average treatment effect (GATE) has proven to be challenging due to network interference, which violates the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Qianyi Chen , Bo Li , Lu Deng , Yong Wang

Recently, a new testing approach for response-adaptive clinical trials was proposed based on the allocation probabilities (AP) rather than the outcome data. While original work on the AP test focused on binary and normal endpoints and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Stina Zetterstrom , David S. Robertson , Thomas Jaki , Sofía S. Villar

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is the method that attempts to estimate the performance of decision making policies using historical data generated by different policies without conducting costly online A/B tests. Accurate OPE is essential in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-09-20 Yuta Saito , Takuma Udagawa , Kei Tateno

Randomized experiments have been the gold standard for assessing the effectiveness of a treatment or policy. The classical complete randomization approach assigns treatments based on a prespecified probability and may lead to inefficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

We consider the problem of how to assign treatment in a randomized experiment, in which the correlation among the outcomes is informed by a network available pre-intervention. Working within the potential outcome causal framework, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-19 Guillaume W. Basse , Edoardo M. Airoldi

In treatment allocation problems the individuals to be treated often arrive sequentially. We study a problem in which the policy maker is not only interested in the expected cumulative welfare but is also concerned about the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-24 Anders Bredahl Kock , Martin Thyrsgaard

Consider a setting in which a policy maker assigns subjects to treatments, observing each outcome before the next subject arrives. Initially, it is unknown which treatment is best, but the sequential nature of the problem permits learning…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-13 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

We consider experiments for comparing treatments using units that are ordered linearly over time or space within blocks. In addition to the block effect, we assume that a trend effect influences the response. The latter is modeled as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Dibyen Majumdar , John Stufken

Online controlled experiments (A/B tests) have become the gold standard for learning the impact of new product features in technology companies. Randomization enables the inference of causality from an A/B test. The randomized assignment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Qike Li , Samir Jamkhande , Pavel Kochetkov , Pai Liu

In a fixed budget ranking and Selection (R&S) problem, one aims to identify the best design among a finite number of candidates by efficiently allocating the given computing budget to evaluate design performance. Classical methods for R&S…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-11 Yuhao Wang , Enlu Zhou

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Many social programs attempt to allocate scarce resources to people with the greatest need. Indeed, public services increasingly use algorithmic risk assessments motivated by this goal. However, targeting the highest-need recipients often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-30 Bryan Wilder , Pim Welle

Switchback experiments, where a firm sequentially exposes an experimental unit to random treatments, are among the most prevalent designs used in the technology sector, with applications ranging from ride-hailing platforms to online…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Iavor Bojinov , David Simchi-Levi , Jinglong Zhao

Dynamic treatment regimes are sequential decision rules that adapt treatment according to individual time-varying characteristics and outcomes to achieve optimal effects, with applications in precision medicine, personalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Yuanshan Gao , Yang Bai , Yifan Cui

Offline policy evaluation (OPE) allows us to evaluate and estimate a new sequential decision-making policy's performance by leveraging historical interaction data collected from other policies. Evaluating a new policy online without a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-04 Allen Nie , Yash Chandak , Christina J. Yuan , Anirudhan Badrinath , Yannis Flet-Berliac , Emma Brunskil

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

The growing availability of observational databases like electronic health records (EHR) provides unprecedented opportunities for secondary use of such data in biomedical research. However, these data can be error-prone and need to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Gustavo G. C. Amorim , Pamela A. Shaw , Ran Tao , Bryan E. Shepherd

We introduce a novel theoretical framework for Return On Investment (ROI) maximization in repeated decision-making. Our setting is motivated by the use case of companies that regularly receive proposals for technological innovations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-24 Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Tommaso Cesari , Yishay Mansour , Vianney Perchet

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu