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Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

I propose a new conceptual framework to disentangle the impacts of weather and climate on economic activity and growth: A stochastic frontier model with climate in the production frontier and weather shocks as a source of inefficiency. I…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-05-07 Richard S. J. Tol

Agricultural research has fostered productivity growth, but the historical influence of anthropogenic climate change on that growth has not been quantified. We develop a robust econometric model of weather effects on global agricultural…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-05 Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Toby R. Ault , Carlos M. Carrillo , Robert G. Chambers , David B. Lobell

We study the distributional implications of uncertainty shocks by developing a model that links macroeconomic aggregates to the US distribution of earnings and consumption. We find that: initially, the fraction of low-earning workers…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-20 Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Tommaso Tornese

Estimating the effects of climate on economic output is crucial for formulating climate policy, but current empirical findings remain ambiguous. Using annual panel model and panel long-difference model with global subnational data from…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-26 Jinchi Dong , Richard S. J. Tol , Jinnan Wang

Feeding a larger and wealthier global population without transgressing ecological limits is increasingly challenging, as rising food demand (especially for animal products) intensifies pressure on ecosystems, accelerates deforestation, and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-17 Moretti Elia , Loreau Michel , Benzaquen Michael

The economic impacts of climate change are highly uncertain. Two of the most important uncertainties are the sensitivity of the climate system and the so-called damage functions, which relate climate change to economic damages and benefits.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-08-24 Jenny Bjordal , Trude Storelvmo , Anthony A. Smith

Climate (change) affects the prices of goods and services in different countries or regions differently. Simply relying on aggregate measures or summary statistics, such as the impact of average country temperature changes on HICP headline…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-09 Paulo M. M. Rodrigues , Mirjam Salish , Nazarii Salish

The United Nations has identified improving food security and reducing hunger as essential components of its sustainable development goals. As of 2021, approximately 828 million people worldwide are experiencing hunger and malnutrition,…

The agricultural sector is particularly susceptible to the impact of climate change. In this paper, I investigate how vulnerability to climate change affects U.S. farms' credit access, and demonstrates that such impact is unequally…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-01 Teng Liu

This study investigates the long-term effects of temperature variations on economic growth using a data-driven approach. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we analyze global land surface temperature data from Berkeley Earth and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-15 Eugene Kharitonov , Oksana Zakharchuk , Lin Mei

Previously, in underdeveloped countries, people tried to keep the prices of food products artificially low, in order to help the poor to buy their food. But it became soon clear that such system, although helpful for the city poor, was…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-04-15 Andrea C. Levi , Ubaldo Garibaldi

Agriculture is crucial in sustaining human life and civilization that relies heavily on natural resources. This industry faces new challenges, such as climate change, a growing global population, and new models for managing food security…

Mapping pathways to achieving the sustainable development goals requires understanding and predicting how social, economic and political factors impact biodiversity. Trends in demography, economic growth, regional alliances and consumption…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-03-26 Payal Bal , Simon Kapitza , Natasha Cadenhead , Tom Kompas , Pham Van Ha , Brendan Wintle

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

This study constructs a novel analytical general equilibrium model to compare environmental policies in a setting where oligopolistic energy firms engage in third-degree price discrimination across residential consumers and industrial…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-07 Tengjiao Chen , Daniel H. Karney

The complex interplay between famine, warfare, and climate constitutes a multifaceted and context-dependent relationship that has profoundly influenced human history, particularly in early modern Europe. This study advances the literature…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-11 Emile Esmaili , Michael J. Puma , Francis Ludlow , Eva Jobbova

This paper examines how subsistence farmers respond to extreme heat. Using micro-data from Peruvian households, we find that high temperatures reduce agricultural productivity, increase area planted, and change crop mix. These findings are…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-03-01 Fernando M. Aragón , Francisco Oteiza , Juan Pablo Rud

Humanity's progress in combating hunger, poverty, and child mortality is marred by escalating environmental degradation due to rising greenhouse gas emissions and climate change impacts. Despite positive developments, ecosystems are…

The concept of sustainable intensification in agriculture necessitates the implementation of management practices that prioritize sustainability without compromising productivity. However, the effects of such practices are known to depend…

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