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Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

The ability to generalize experimental results from randomized control trials (RCTs) across locations is crucial for informing policy decisions in targeted regions. Such generalization is often hindered by the lack of identifiability due to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-10 Xinkun Nie , Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

We investigate an empirical quantile estimation approach to solve chance-constrained nonlinear optimization problems. Our approach is based on the reformulation of the chance constraint as an equivalent quantile constraint to provide…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-16 Fengqiao Luo , Jeffrey Larson

This paper investigates the theoretical foundation and develops analytical formulas for sample size and power calculations for causal inference with observational data. By analyzing the variance of an inverse probability weighting estimator…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Bo Liu , Chengxin Yang , Fan Li

Causal inference is capable of estimating the treatment effect (i.e., the causal effect of treatment on the outcome) to benefit the decision making in various domains. One fundamental challenge in this research is that the treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Qian Li , Zhichao Wang , Shaowu Liu , Gang Li , Guandong Xu

Covariate balance is a conventional key diagnostic for methods used estimating causal effects from observational studies. Recently, there is an emerging interest in directly incorporating covariate balance in the estimation. We study a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Qingyuan Zhao , Daniel Percival

As machine learning models grow increasingly competent, their predictions can supplement scarce or expensive data in various important domains. In support of this paradigm, algorithms have emerged to combine a small amount of high-fidelity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Zhun Deng , Thomas P Zollo , Benjamin Eyre , Amogh Inamdar , David Madras , Richard Zemel

Stepped-wedge designs are increasingly used in randomized experiments to accommodate logistical and ethical constraints by staggering treatment roll-out over time. Despite their popularity, existing analytical methods largely rely on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Liangbo Lyu , Bingkai Wang

Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

In observational studies, weighting methods that directly optimize the balance between treatment and covariates have received much attention lately; however these have mainly focused on binary treatments. Inspired by domain adaptation, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-27 Guillaume Martinet

Comparison and contrast are the basic means to unveil causation and learn which treatments work. To build good comparison groups, randomized experimentation is key, yet often infeasible. In such non-experimental settings, we illustrate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

A case-cohort design is a two-phase sampling design frequently used to analyze censored survival data in a cost-effective way, where a subcohort is usually selected using simple random sampling or stratified simple random sampling. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-06 Kaeum Choi , Sangwook Kang

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

Causal decomposition analysis provides a way to identify mediators that contribute to health disparities between marginalized and non-marginalized groups. In particular, the degree to which a disparity would be reduced or remain after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-16 Soojin Park , Suyeon Kang , Chioun Lee

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely employed to balance baseline covariates in interventional studies such as clinical trials and experiments in development economics. Recent years have witnessed substantial progress in inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Jiahui Xin , Hanzhong Liu , Wei Ma

We derive new variance formulas for inference on a general class of estimands of causal average treatment effects in a Randomized Control Trial (RCT). We generalize Robins (1988) and show that when the estimand of interest is the Sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-19 Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Yotam Shem-Tov