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Causal attribution, which aims to explain why events or behaviors occur, is crucial in causal inference and enhances our understanding of cause-and-effect relationships in scientific research. The probabilities of necessary causation (PN)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Zhaoqing Tian , Peng Wu

This paper develops new methods for causal inference in observational studies on a single large network of interconnected units, addressing two key challenges: long-range dependence among units and the presence of general interference. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-24 Jizhou Liu , Dake Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

We present a general nonparametric approach for testing whether a statistical parameter defined through conditional distributions is constant across the conditioning variables. Such hypotheses arise naturally in problems such as assessing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Albert Osom , Ali Shojaie , Aaron Hudson

Causal inference from observational data can be viewed as a missing data problem arising from a hypothetical population-scale randomized trial matched to the observational study. This links a target trial protocol with a corresponding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-27 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Stephen Walker , Chris Holmes

Causal inference is central to statistics and scientific discovery, enabling researchers to identify cause-and-effect relationships beyond associations. While traditionally studied within Euclidean spaces, contemporary applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Bing Li , Xiao Wu , Lingzhou Xue

Skepticism about the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, also known as exchangeability, is often warranted in making causal inferences from observational data; because exchangeability hinges on an investigator's ability to accurately…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Yifan Cui , Hongming Pu , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We present a new test of hypothesis in which we seek the probability of the null conditioned on the data, where the null is a simplification undertaken to counter the intractability of the more complex model, that the simpler null model is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-20 Dalia Chakrabarty

Causal models are notoriously difficult to validate because they make untestable assumptions regarding confounding. New scientific experiments offer the possibility of evaluating causal models using prediction performance. Prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-27 James P. Long , Min Jin Ha

Graph-based tests are a class of non-parametric two-sample tests useful for analyzing high-dimensional data. The test statistics are constructed from similarity graphs (such as K-minimum spanning tree), and consequently, their performance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Yichuan Bai , Lynna Chu

Doubly robust estimators of causal effects are a popular means of estimating causal effects. Such estimators combine an estimate of the conditional mean of the outcome given treatment and confounders (the so-called outcome regression) with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-17 David Benkeser , Weixin Cai , Mark J van der Laan

An essential goal of program evaluation and scientific research is the investigation of causal mechanisms. Over the past several decades, causal mediation analysis has been used in medical and social sciences to decompose the treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-15 K. C. G. Chan , K. Imai , S. C. P. Yam , Z. Zhang

The causal dose response curve is commonly selected as the statistical parameter of interest in studies where the goal is to understand the effect of a continuous exposure on an outcome.Most of the available methodology for statistical…

We propose a method to distinguish causal influence from hidden confounding in the following scenario: given a target variable Y, potential causal drivers X, and a large number of background features, we propose a novel criterion for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-07 You-Lin Chen , Lenon Minorics , Dominik Janzing

The comparison of a parameter in $k$ populations is a classical problem in statistics. Testing for the equality of means or variances are typical examples. Most procedures designed to deal with this problem assume that $k$ is fixed and that…

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Peng Ding , Fan Li

Understanding causal relationships among the variables of a system is paramount to explain and control its behavior. For many real-world systems, however, the true causal graph is not readily available and one must resort to predictions…

The semi-parametric Cox proportional hazards regression model has been widely used for many years in several applied sciences. However, a fully parametric proportional hazards model, if appropriately assumed, can often lead to more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Amarnath Nandy , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

A causal claim is any assertion that invokes causal relationships between variables, for example that a drug has a certain effect on preventing a disease. Causal claims are established through a combination of data and a set of causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Judea Pearl