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Feature attribution for kernel methods is often heuristic and not individualised for each prediction. To address this, we turn to the concept of Shapley values~(SV), a coalition game theoretical framework that has previously been applied to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-27 Siu Lun Chau , Robert Hu , Javier Gonzalez , Dino Sejdinovic

Distortion risk measures play a critical role in quantifying risks associated with uncertain outcomes. Accurately estimating these risk measures in the context of computationally expensive simulation models that lack analytical tractability…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-29 Sören Bettels , Stefan Weber

This paper fills the limited statistical understanding of Shapley values as a variable importance measure from a nonparametric (or smoothing) perspective. We introduce population-level \textit{Shapley curves} to measure the true variable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Ratmir Miftachov , Georg Keilbar , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Model interpretability is one of the most intriguing problems in most of the Machine Learning models, particularly for those that are mathematically sophisticated. Computing Shapley Values are arguably the best approach so far to find the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Indranil Basu , Subhadip Maji

Shapley values have emerged as a critical tool for explaining which features impact the decisions made by machine learning models. However, computing exact Shapley values is difficult, generally requiring an exponential (in the feature…

Variable selection or importance measurement of input variables to a machine learning model has become the focus of much research. It is no longer enough to have a good model, one also must explain its decisions. This is why there are so…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Vincent Lemaire , Fabrice Clérot , Marc Boullé

Control variates are variance reduction tools for Monte Carlo estimators. They can provide significant variance reduction, but usually require a large number of samples, which can be prohibitive when sampling or evaluating the integrand is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Zhuo Sun , Alessandro Barp , François-Xavier Briol

Originally introduced in cooperative game theory, Shapley values have become a very popular tool to explain machine learning predictions. Based on Shapley's fairness axioms, every input (feature component) gets a credit how it contributes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Michael Mayer , Mario V. Wüthrich

In recent years, the Shapley value and SHAP explanations have emerged as one of the most dominant paradigms for providing post-hoc explanations of black-box models. Despite their well-founded theoretical properties, many recent works have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 James Enouen , Yan Liu

Recent publications have suggested using the Shapley value for anomaly localization for sensor data systems. Using a reasonable mathematical anomaly model for full control, experiments indicate that using a single fixed term in the Shapley…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Xubin Fang , Rick S. Blum , Franziska Freytag

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling algorithms are an extremely widely-used technique to estimate expectations of functions f(x), especially in high dimensions. Control variates are a very powerful technique to reduce the error of such estimates, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-08 Brendan D. Tracey , David H. Wolpert

Because of their strong theoretical properties, Shapley values have become very popular as a way to explain predictions made by black box models. Unfortuately, most existing techniques to compute Shapley values are computationally very…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-29 Arne Gevaert , Yvan Saeys

Machine learning (ML) for transient stability assessment has gained traction due to the significant increase in computational requirements as renewables connect to power systems. To achieve a high degree of accuracy; black-box ML models are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-14 Robert I. Hamilton , Panagiotis N. Papadopoulos

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

The control variates method is a classical variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo estimators that exploits correlated auxiliary variables without introducing bias. In many applications, the quantity of interest can be expressed as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-10 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

Shapley Values (SV) are widely used in explainable AI, but their estimation and interpretation can be challenging, leading to inaccurate inferences and explanations. As a starting point, we remind an invariance principle for SV and derive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J-B. Brunel , Tangi Salaün

Despite the popularity of Shapley Values in explaining neural text classification models, computing them is prohibitive for large pretrained models due to a large number of model evaluations. In practice, Shapley Values are often estimated…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Chenghao Yang , Fan Yin , He He , Kai-Wei Chang , Xiaofei Ma , Bing Xiang

Shapley values are great analytical tools in game theory to measure the importance of a player in a game. Due to their axiomatic and desirable properties such as efficiency, they have become popular for feature importance analysis in data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Ramin Okhrati , Aldo Lipani

Feature attribution methods such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) have become instrumental in understanding machine learning models, but their role in guiding model optimization remains underexplored. In this paper, we propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Amal Saadallah

Besides accuracy, recent studies on machine learning models have been addressing the question on how the obtained results can be interpreted. Indeed, while complex machine learning models are able to provide very good results in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-07 Guilherme Dean Pelegrina , Leonardo Tomazeli Duarte , Michel Grabisch