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Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Amortized simulation-based inference (SBI) methods train neural networks on simulated data to perform Bayesian inference. While this strategy avoids the need for tractable likelihoods, it often requires a large number of simulations and has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Manuel Gloeckler , Shoji Toyota , Kenji Fukumizu , Jakob H. Macke

We provide guidance on multiple imputation of missing at random treatments in observational studies. Specifically, analysts should account for both covariates and outcomes, i.e., not just use propensity scores, when imputing the missing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter

Commonly used methods to analyze incomplete longitudinal clinical trial data include complete case analysis (CC) and last observation carried forward (LOCF). However, such methods rest on strong assumptions, including missing completely at…

Longitudinal studies are often subject to missing data. The ICH E9(R1) addendum addresses the importance of defining a treatment effect estimand with the consideration of intercurrent events. Jump-to-reference (J2R) is one classically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Siyi Liu , Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan , Liu

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Joint models (JMs) for longitudinal and time-to-event data are an important class of biostatistical models in health and medical research. When the study population consists of heterogeneous subgroups, the standard JM may be inadequate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-31 Sida Chen , Danilo Alvares , Marco Palma , Jessica K. Barrett

Multiple imputation (MI) is a technique especially designed for handling missing data in public-use datasets. It allows analysts to perform incomplete-data inference straightforwardly by using several already imputed datasets released by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

Conditional Mutual Information (CMI) is a measure of conditional dependence between random variables X and Y, given another random variable Z. It can be used to quantify conditional dependence among variables in many data-driven inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-10 Sudipto Mukherjee , Himanshu Asnani , Sreeram Kannan

Early in an infectious disease outbreak, timely and accurate estimation of the basic reproduction number ($R_0$) and the serial interval (SI) is critical for understanding transmission dynamics and informing public health responses. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Tatiana Krikella , Jane M. Heffernan , Hanna Jankowski

Real-World Data (RWD), with its large sample sizes and rich clinical detail, offers a compelling alternative to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for studying treatment effects in diverse and complex patient populations. However, its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Yifei Xu , Hwiyoung Lee , Zhenyao Ye , Yezhi Pan , Jingsong Zhou , Yun Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Multivariate data occurs in a wide range of fields, with ever more flexible model specifications being proposed, often within a multivariate generalised linear mixed effects (MGLME) framework. In this article, we describe an extended…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-09 Michael J. Crowther

We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 James L. Cantor , David F. Findley

The linear regression model is widely used in the biomedical and social sciences as well as in policy and business research to adjust for covariates and estimate the average effects of treatments. Behind every causal inference endeavor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Noah Greifer , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Causal mediation analysis usually requires strong assumptions, such as ignorability of the mediator, which may not hold in many social and scientific studies. Motivated by a multilevel randomized treatment experiment using functional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Yi Zhao , Xi Luo

Case-cohort studies are conducted within cohort studies, wherein collection of exposure data is limited to a subset of the cohort, leading to a large proportion of missing data by design. Standard analysis uses inverse probability weighting…

In cluster-randomized trials, generalized linear mixed models and generalized estimating equations have conventionally been the default analytic methods for estimating the average treatment effect as routine practice. However, recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Fan Li , Jiaqi Tong , Xi Fang , Chao Cheng , Brennan C. Kahan , Bingkai Wang

Sequential recommendation (SR) leverages users' dynamic preferences, with recent advances incorporating multi-interest learning to model diverse user interests. However, most multi-interest SR models rely on noisy, sparse implicit feedback,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Shutong Qiao , Chen Gao , Wei Yuan , Yong Li , Hongzhi Yin

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

The association between multidimensional exposure patterns and outcomes is commonly investigated by first applying cluster analysis algorithms to derive patterns and then estimating the associations. However, errors in the underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-31 Timm Intemann , Iris Pigeot