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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms to sample complex and high-dimensional probability distributions. The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, the workhorse of MCMC, provides a simple recipe to construct reversible…

Surrogate modeling is an essential data-driven technique for quantifying relationships between input variables and system responses in manufacturing and engineering systems. Two major challenges limit its effectiveness: (1) large data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Manan Mehta , Zhiqiao Dong , Yuhang Yang , Chenhui Shao

One of the most demanding calculations is to generate random samples from a specified probability distribution (usually with an unknown normalizing prefactor) in a high-dimensional configuration space. One often has to resort to using a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Youhan Fang , Jesus-Maria Sanz-Serna , Robert D. Skeel

Subsurface remediation often involves reconstruction of contaminant release history from sparse observations of solute concentration. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), the most accurate and general method for this task, is rarely used in…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Zitong Zhou , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

This paper considers the surrogate modeling of a complex numerical code in a multifidelity framework when the code output is a time series. Using an experimental design of the low-and high-fidelity code levels, an original Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-24 Baptiste Kerleguer

Variable selection is a key issue when analyzing high-dimensional data. The explosion of data with large sample sizes and dimensionality brings new challenges to this problem in both inference accuracy and computational complexity. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-30 Xu Chen , Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar

We propose a splitting Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SHMC) algorithm, which can be computationally efficient when combined with the random mini-batch strategy. By splitting the potential energy into numerically nonstiff and stiff parts, one…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-23 Lei Li , Lin Liu , Yuzhou Peng

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular sampling method in Bayesian inference. Recently, Heng & Jacob (2019) studied Metropolis HMC with couplings for unbiased Monte Carlo estimation, establishing a generic parallelizable scheme for HMC.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Kai Xu , Tor Erlend Fjelde , Charles Sutton , Hong Ge

We here consider the subset simulation method which approaches a failure event using a decreasing sequence of nested intermediate failure events. The method resembles importance sampling, which actively explores a probability space by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-16 Kenan Šehić , Mirza Karamehmedović

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state of the art method for sampling from distributions with differentiable densities, but can converge slowly when applied to challenging multimodal problems. Running HMC with a time varying Hamiltonian,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak , Dries Sels

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Hybrid Monte Carlo is a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling from complex continuous distributions. However, a major limitation of HMC is its inability to be applied to discrete domains due to the lack of gradient signal.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Priyank Jaini , Didrik Nielsen , Max Welling

Efficient sampling from a high-dimensional Gaussian distribution is an old but high-stake issue. Vanilla Cholesky samplers imply a computational cost and memory requirements which can rapidly become prohibitive in high dimension. To tackle…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Maxime Vono , Nicolas Dobigeon , Pierre Chainais

Bayesian inference methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) typically require repeated computations of the likelihood function, but in some scenarios this is infeasible and alternative methods are needed. Simulation-based inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Linnea M Wolniewicz , Peter Sadowski , Claudio Corti

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of different data-augmentation-type Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms sampling from mixture models comprising discrete as well as continuous random variables. Of particular interest to us is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-04 Randal Douc , Florian Maire , Jimmy Olsson

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Monte-Carlo techniques are standard numerical tools for exploring non-Gaussian and multivariate likelihoods. Many variants of the original Metropolis-Hastings algorithm have been proposed to increase the sampling efficiency. Motivated by…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-10-31 Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Heinrich von Campe , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Lennart Röver , Björn Malte Schäfer

High-dimensional distributions, especially those with heavy tails, are notoriously difficult for off-the-shelf MCMC samplers: the combination of unbounded state spaces, diminishing gradient information, and local moves results in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Jun Yang , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods sample from unnormalized probability distributions and offer guarantees of exact sampling. However, in the continuous case, unfavorable geometry of the target distribution can greatly limit the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-09 Zengyi Li , Yubei Chen , Friedrich T. Sommer

Piecewise-Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) hold significant promise for sampling from complex probability distributions. However, their practical implementation is hindered by the need to compute model-specific bounds. Conversely,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Matthew Sutton