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Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

Time series forecasting methods generally fall into two main categories: Channel Independent (CI) and Channel Dependent (CD) strategies. While CI overlooks important covariate relationships, CD captures all dependencies without distinction,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Yifan Hu , Guibin Zhang , Peiyuan Liu , Disen Lan , Naiqi Li , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai , Shu-Tao Xia , Shirui Pan

Change-point detection (CPD) aims to detect abrupt changes over time series data. Intuitively, effective CPD over multivariate time series should require explicit modeling of the dependencies across input variables. However, existing CPD…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Ruohong Zhang , Yu Hao , Donghan Yu , Wei-Cheng Chang , Guokun Lai , Yiming Yang

Research on long-term time series prediction has primarily relied on Transformer and MLP models, while the potential of convolutional networks in this domain remains underexplored. To address this, we propose a novel multi-scale time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Chenghan Li , Mingchen Li , Yipu Liao , Ruisheng Diao

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and transformer architectures offer strengths for modeling temporal data: CNNs excel at capturing local patterns and translational invariances, while transformers effectively model long-range…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Stefano F. Stefenon , João P. Matos-Carvalho , Valderi R. Q. Leithardt , Kin-Choong Yow

In multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF), extracting the temporal correlations of the input sequences is crucial. While popular Transformer-based predictive models can perform well, their quadratic computational complexity results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Shusen Ma , Yu Kang , Peng Bai , Yun-Bo Zhao

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

Transformer-based models have greatly pushed the boundaries of time series forecasting recently. Existing methods typically encode time series data into $\textit{patches}$ using one or a fixed set of patch lengths. This, however, could…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 Linfeng Du , Ji Xin , Alex Labach , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs , Rahul G. Krishnan

This study introduces a novel forecasting strategy that leverages the power of fractional differencing (FD) to capture both short- and long-term dependencies in time series data. Unlike traditional integer differencing methods, FD preserves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Sarit Maitra , Vivek Mishra , Srashti Dwivedi , Sukanya Kundu , Goutam Kumar Kundu

In machine learning, effective modeling requires a holistic consideration of how to encode inputs, make predictions (i.e., decoding), and train the model. However, in time-series forecasting, prior work has predominantly focused on encoder…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Jaebin Lee , Hankook Lee

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Designing effective models for learning time series representations is foundational for time series analysis. Many previous works have explored time series representation modeling approaches and have made progress in this area. Despite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Mingyue Cheng , Jiqian Yang , Tingyue Pan , Qi Liu , Zhi Li

Transformer-based architectures have become the dominant paradigm for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph (CTDG) learning, yet their performance remains limited on temporally shifted datasets. In this work, we identify attention dispersion as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Jinhao Zhang , Kangfei Zhao , Qiuhao Zeng , Long-Kai Huang

Time series prediction is often complicated by distribution shift which demands adaptive models to accommodate time-varying distributions. We frame time series prediction under distribution shift as a weighted empirical risk minimisation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Stefanos Bennett , Jase Clarkson

Accurate forecasting of solar power output is essential for efficient integration of renewable energy into the grid. In this study, an attention-based deep learning model, inspired by transformer architecture, is used for short-term solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Ankan Basu , Jyotiraditya Roy , Aditya Datta , Prayas Sanyal , Sumanta Banerjee

With the development of the self-attention mechanism, the Transformer model has demonstrated its outstanding performance in the computer vision domain. However, the massive computation brought from the full attention mechanism became a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-13 Hai Lan , Xihao Wang , Xian Wei

In this paper, we propose an encoder-decoder neural architecture (called Channelformer) to achieve improved channel estimation for orthogonal frequency-division multiplexing (OFDM) waveforms in downlink scenarios. The self-attention…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-10 Dianxin Luan , John Thompson

The Transformer model has shown leading performance in time series forecasting. Nevertheless, in some complex scenarios, it tends to learn low-frequency features in the data and overlook high-frequency features, showing a frequency bias.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-04 Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Taichi Murayama , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Downsampling-based methods for time series forecasting have attracted increasing attention due to their superiority in capturing sequence trends. However, this approaches mainly capture dependencies within subsequences but neglect…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Zhangyao Song , Nanqing Jiang , Miaohong He , Xiaoyu Zhao , Tao Guo

One approach for constructing copula functions is by multiplication. Given that products of cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) are also CDFs, an adjustment to this multiplication will result in a copula model, as discussed by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Ricardo Silva