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This paper proposes a novel framework for enhancing the prediction accuracy and lead time of El Ni\~no events, crucial for mitigating their global climatic, economic, and societal impacts. Traditional prediction models often rely on oceanic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Viet Trinh , Ha-Vy Luu , Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham , Hung Tong , Thanh-Huyen Tran , Hoai-Nam Nguyen Dang

Data-driven, deep-learning modeling frameworks have been recently developed for forecasting time series data. Such machine learning models may be useful in multiple domains including the atmospheric and oceanic ones, and in general, the…

Neural PDE solvers offer a powerful tool for modeling complex dynamical systems, but often struggle with error accumulation over long time horizons and maintaining stability and physical consistency. We introduce a multiscale implicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Ruoxi Jiang , Xiao Zhang , Karan Jakhar , Peter Y. Lu , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Michael Maire , Rebecca Willett

We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

We introduce an interpretable-by-design method, optimized model-analog, that integrates deep learning with model-analog forecasting which generates forecasts from similar initial climate states in a repository of model simulations. This…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-10 Kinya Toride , Matthew Newman , Andrew Hoell , Antonietta Capotondi , Jakob Schlör , Dillon J. Amaya

Wind power forecasting plays a critical role in modern energy systems, facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. Accurate prediction of wind energy output is essential for managing the inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Ali Forootani , Danial Esmaeili Aliabadi , Daniela Thraen

This paper advances the development of the conformally mapped model for accurate simulation of two-dimensional water waves, here with emphasis on mapping boundaries that represent piston- and flap-type wavemakers. With this, a complete…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-20 Andreas Holm Akselsen

The recent accelerated growth in space-related research and development activities makes the near-term need for long-term extraterrestrial habitats evident. Such habitats must operate under continuous disruptive conditions arising from…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-04 Mahindra Rautela , Motahareh Mirfarah , Christian Silva , Shirley Dyke , Amin Maghareh , S. Gopalakrishnan

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models are powerful tools for medium-range forecasts but often lack physical consistency, leading to outputs that violate conservation laws. This study introduces a set of novel…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-01-30 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

Elastic wave propagation is studied in a heterogeneous 2-D medium consisting of an elastic matrix containing randomly distributed circular elastic inclusions. The aim of this study is to determine the effective wavenumbers when the incident…

经典物理 · 物理学 2016-06-29 Mathieu Chekroun , Loïc Le Marrec , Bruno Lombard , Joël Piraux

The interaction between the electromagnetic field and plasmonic nanostructures leads to both the strong linear response and inherent nonlinear behavior. In this paper, a time-domain hydrodynamic model for describing the motion of electrons…

光学 · 物理学 2017-09-19 Ming Fang , Zhixiang Huang , Wei E. I. Sha , Xianliang Wu

The choice of a time integration scheme is a crucial aspect of any transient fluid simulation, and Smoothed-Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) is no exception. The influence of the time integration scheme on energy balance is here addressed. To…

This paper investigates the application of a fast-wave slow-wave spectral deferred correction time-stepping method (FWSW-SDC) to the compressible Euler equations. The resulting model achieves arbitrary order accuracy in time, demonstrating…

Temporal modulation unlocks possibilities to dynamically control and modify the response of electromagnetic systems. Employing explicit dependencies of circuit or surface parameters on time enables the engineering of systems with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-01 Grigorii Ptitcyn , Mohammad Sajjad Mirmoosa , Silvi Hrabar , Sergey Tretyakov

This work proposes a novel approach for non-deterministic extension of experimental data that considers structural model inadequacy for conditions other than the calibration scenario while simultaneously resolving any significant prior-data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-10 Przemyslaw Rostkowski , Jeremie B. E. Meurisse , Marco Panesi

We establish a new criterion for exponential mixing of random dynamical systems. Our criterion is applicable to a wide range of systems, including in particular dispersive equations. Its verification is in nature related to several topics,…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-07-23 Ziyu Liu , Dongyi Wei , Shengquan Xiang , Zhifei Zhang , Jia-Cheng Zhao

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

There have recently been many efforts to create machine learnt atmospheric emulators designed to replace physical models. So far these have mainly focused on medium-range weather forecasting, where these `Machine Learnt Weather Prediction'…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-03 Bobby Antonio , Kristian Strommen , Hannah M. Christensen

In data-driven modelling of complex dynamic processes, it is often desirable to combine different classes of models to enhance performance. Examples include coupled models of different fidelities, or hybrid models based on physical…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-10 Shiqi Wu , Ludovic Chamoin , Qianxiao Li

This study focuses on solving the numerical challenges of imposing absorbing boundary conditions for dynamic simulations in the material point method (MPM). To attenuate elastic waves leaving the computational domain, the current work…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-01-24 Jun Kurima , Bodhinanda Chandra , Kenichi Soga