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Cluster-weighted models (CWMs) extend finite mixtures of regressions (FMRs) in order to allow the distribution of covariates to contribute to the clustering process. In a matrix-variate framework, the matrix-variate normal CWM has been…

There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

Treatment effect estimation, which refers to the estimation of causal effects and aims to measure the strength of the causal relationship, is of great importance in many fields but is a challenging problem in practice. As present,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-20 Zhenyu Guo , Shuai Zheng , Zhizhe Liu , Kun Yan , Zhenfeng Zhu

Natural science datasets frequently violate assumptions of independence. Samples may be clustered (e.g. by study site, subject, or experimental batch), leading to spurious associations, poor model fitting, and confounded analyses. While…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Kevin P. Nguyen , Albert Montillo

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

With the widespread accumulation of observational data, researchers obtain a new direction to learn counterfactual effects in many domains (e.g., health care and computational advertising) without Randomized Controlled Trials(RCTs).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-01 Guanglin Zhou , Lina Yao , Xiwei Xu , Chen Wang , Liming Zhu

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

The use of machine learning methods helps to improve decision making in different fields. In particular, the idea of bridging predictions (machine learning models) and prescriptions (optimization problems) is gaining attention within the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-22 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

Controlled experiments are widely used in many applications to investigate the causal relationship between input factors and experimental outcomes. A completely randomized design is usually used to randomly assign treatment levels to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang , Xiao Huang

Representation learning aims to extract meaningful lower-dimensional embeddings from data, known as representations. Despite its widespread application, there is no established definition of a ``good'' representation. Typically, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Mahalakshmi Sabanayagam , Omar Al-Dabooni , Pascal Esser

State-of-the-art methods for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation make widespread use of representation learning. Here, the idea is to reduce the variance of the low-sample CATE estimation by a (potentially constrained)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Boosting techniques from the field of statistical learning have grown to be a popular tool for estimating and selecting predictor effects in various regression models and can roughly be separated in two general approaches, namely gradient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-16 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Groll , Elisabeth Waldmann

Estimating individual and average treatment effects from observational data is an important problem in many domains such as healthcare and e-commerce. In this paper, we advocate balance regularization of multi-head neural network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-24 Mehrdad Farajtabar , Andrew Lee , Yuanjian Feng , Vishal Gupta , Peter Dolan , Harish Chandran , Martin Szummer

Interference arises when an individual's potential outcome depends on the individual treatment level, but also on the treatment level of others. A common assumption in the causal inference literature in the presence of interference is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Fabrizia Mealli , Corwin M. Zigler

This article proposes a meta-learning method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) from a few observational data. The proposed method learns how to estimate CATEs from multiple tasks and uses the knowledge for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-22 Tomoharu Iwata , Yoichi Chikahara

In various practical situations, forecasting of aggregate values rather than individual ones is often our main focus. For instance, electricity companies are interested in forecasting the total electricity demand in a specific region to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Kei Hirose , Hidetoshi Matsui , Hiroki Masuda

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

The development of causal prediction models is challenged by the fact that the outcome is only observable for the applied (factual) intervention and not for its alternatives (the so-called counterfactuals); in medicine we only know…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-29 Stefan Schrod , Fabian Sinz , Michael Altenbuchinger

Robust estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects is a fundamental challenge for optimal decision-making in domains ranging from personalized medicine to educational policy. In recent years, predictive machine learning has emerged as a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Maximilian Schuessler , Erik Sverdrup , Robert Tibshirani

Inference in hierarchical nonlinear models needs careful consideration about targeting parameters that have either a conditional or population-average interpretation. For the special case of mixed-effects nonlinear sigmoidal models we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Daniel Gerhard , Christian Ritz