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相关论文: Optimal Observation-Intervention Trade-Off in Opti…

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In decision-making problems, the outcome of an intervention often depends on the causal relationships between system components and is highly costly to evaluate. In such settings, causal Bayesian optimization (CBO) can exploit the causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Shriya Bhatija , Paul-David Zuercher , Jakob Thumm , Thomas Bohné

We propose a novel Bayesian Optimization approach for black-box functions with an environmental variable whose value determines the tradeoff between evaluation cost and the fidelity of the evaluations. Further, we use a novel approach to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Mark McLeod , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Bayesian optimisation is a powerful tool to solve expensive black-box problems, but fails when the stationary assumption made on the objective function is strongly violated, which is the case in particular for ill-conditioned or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-06 Victor Picheny , Sattar Vakili , Artem Artemev

We introduce a gradient-based approach for the problem of Bayesian optimal experimental design to learn causal models in a batch setting -- a critical component for causal discovery from finite data where interventions can be costly or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-05 Yashas Annadani , Panagiotis Tigas , Desi R. Ivanova , Andrew Jesson , Yarin Gal , Adam Foster , Stefan Bauer

This paper studies the problem of globally optimizing a variable of interest that is part of a causal model in which a sequence of interventions can be performed. This problem arises in biology, operational research, communications and,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Virginia Aglietti , Xiaoyu Lu , Andrei Paleyes , Javier González

Bayesian optimization offers the possibility of optimizing black-box operations not accessible through traditional techniques. The success of Bayesian optimization methods such as Expected Improvement (EI) are significantly affected by the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-04 Dipti Jasrasaria , Edward O. Pyzer-Knapp

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Feature selection is an important problem in machine learning, which aims to select variables that lead to an optimal predictive model. In this paper, we focus on feature selection for post-intervention outcome prediction from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Sofia Triantafillou , Fattaneh Jabbari , Greg Cooper

We consider the problem of optimizing a grey-box objective function, i.e., nested function composed of both black-box and white-box functions. A general formulation for such grey-box problems is given, which covers the existing grey-box…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-03 Wenjie Xu , Yuning Jiang , Bratislav Svetozarevic , Colin N. Jones

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a framework for global optimization of expensive-to-evaluate objective functions. Classical BO methods assume that the objective function is a black box. However, internal information about objective function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

Learning good interventions in a causal graph can be modelled as a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem with side-information. First, we study this problem when interventions are more expensive than observations and a budget is specified.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-15 Vineet Nair , Vishakha Patil , Gaurav Sinha

In this paper we consider a method of solving optimal stopping problems in discrete and continuous time based on their dual representation. A novel and generic simulation-based optimization algorithm not involving nested simulations is…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-10 Denis Belomestny

As climate change increases the threat of weather-related disasters, research on weather control is gaining importance. The objective of weather control is to mitigate disaster risks by administering interventions with optimal timing,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-05-19 Yuta Higuchi , Rikuto Nagai , Atsushi Okazaki , Masaki Ogura , Naoki Wakamiya

Identifying cause-effect relations among variables is a key step in the decision-making process. While causal inference requires randomized experiments, researchers and policymakers are increasingly using observational studies to test…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-22 Md Saiful Islam , Md Sarowar Morshed , Md. Noor-E-Alam

We study the problem of causal structure learning when the experimenter is limited to perform at most $k$ non-adaptive experiments of size $1$. We formulate the problem of finding the best intervention target set as an optimization problem,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-03 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash , Elias Bareinboim

Causal structure learning is a key problem in many domains. Causal structures can be learnt by performing experiments on the system of interest. We address the largely unexplored problem of designing a batch of experiments that each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-25 Scott Sussex , Andreas Krause , Caroline Uhler

We study the problem of causal structure learning from a combination of observational and interventional data generated by a linear non-Gaussian structural equation model that might contain cycles. Recent results show that using mere…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Ehsan Sharifian , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Training machine learning models inherently involves a resource-intensive and noisy iterative learning procedure that allows epoch-wise monitoring of the model performance. However, the insights gained from the iterative learning procedure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Wenyu Wang , Zheyi Fan , Szu Hui Ng

Inverse optimal control (IOC) aims to estimate the underlying cost that governs the observed behavior of an expert system. However, in practical scenarios, the collected data is often corrupted by noise, which poses significant challenges…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-10 Ziliang Wang , Axel Ringh , Han Zhang

Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller
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