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We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical "two sigma" confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution has been widely applied in several areas of science and although several methodologies related to this distribution have been proposed, the problem of determining the optimal sample size for estimating its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-27 Eliardo G. Costa , Manoel Santos-Neto

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

We consider the problem of interval estimation of the odds ratio. An asymptotic confidence interval is widely applied in medical research. Unfortunately that confidence interval has a poor coverage probability: it is significantly smaller…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-19 Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska , Wojciech Zieliński

A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

Experimental comparisons of performance represent an important aspect of research on optimization algorithms. In this work we present a methodology for defining the required sample sizes for designing experiments with desired statistical…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-16 Felipe Campelo , Fernanda Takahashi

In this paper, we develop an approach for optimizing the explicit binomial confidence interval recently derived by Chen et al. The optimization reduces conservativeness while guaranteeing prescribed coverage probability.

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-01-30 Xinjia Chen

We study exact confidence intervals and two-sided hypothesis tests for univariate parameters of stochastically increasing discrete distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. It is shown that several popular methods for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-03 MÅns Thulin , Silvelyn Zwanzig

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

As a classic parameter from the binomial distribution, the binomial proportion has been well studied in the literature owing to its wide range of applications. In contrast, the reciprocal of the binomial proportion, also known as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Jiajin Wei , Ping He , Tiejun Tong

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon

Real-world problems typically require the simultaneous optimization of several, often conflicting objectives. Many of these multi-objective optimization problems are characterized by wide ranges of uncertainties in their decision variables…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-10-21 Faramarz Khosravi , Alexander Raß , Jürgen Teich

Sometimes, we do not use a maximum likelihood estimator of a probability but it's a smoothed estimator in order to cope with the zero frequency problem. This is often the case when we use the Naive Bayes classifier. Laplace smoothing is a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

We are concerned with three types of uncertainties: probabilistic, possibilitistic and interval. By using possibility and necessity measures as an Interval Valued Probability Measure (IVPM), we present IVPM's interval expected values whose…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-01-25 Phantipa Thipwiwatpotjana , Weldon A. Lodwick

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari