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In the steel production domain, recycling ferrous scrap is essential for environmental and economic sustainability, as it reduces both energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. However, the classification of scrap materials poses a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-22 Paulo Henrique dos Santos , Valéria de Carvalho Santos , Eduardo José da Silva Luz

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

The black box nature of deep learning models complicate their usage in critical applications such as remote sensing. Conformal prediction is a method to ensure trust in such scenarios. Subject to data exchangeability, conformal prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

Conformal prediction constructs a set of labels instead of a single point prediction, while providing a probabilistic coverage guarantee. Beyond the coverage guarantee, adaptiveness to example difficulty is an important property. It means…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Sooyong Jang , Insup Lee

Conformal prediction has recently emerged as a promising strategy for quantifying the uncertainty of a predictive model; these algorithms modify the model to output sets of labels that are guaranteed to contain the true label with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Botong Zhang , Shuo Li , Osbert Bastani

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a popular regression method, which unlike most Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These uncertainty estimates however, are based on the assumption that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Harris Papadopoulos

One-shot prediction enables rapid adaptation of pretrained foundation models to new tasks using only one labeled example, but lacks principled uncertainty quantification. While conformal prediction provides finite-sample coverage…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Maja Waldron

Deep learning approaches have shown great success in image classification tasks and can aid greatly towards the fast and reliable classification of pollen grain aerial imagery. However, often-times deep learning methods in the setting of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-01 Jaideep Murkute

Recent advances in self-supervision and contrastive learning have brought the performance of foundation models to unprecedented levels in a variety of tasks. Fueled by this progress, these models are becoming the prevailing approach for a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Leo Fillioux , Julio Silva-Rodríguez , Ismail Ben Ayed , Paul-Henry Cournède , Maria Vakalopoulou , Stergios Christodoulidis , Jose Dolz

CNN models already play an important role in classification of crop and weed with high accuracy, more than 95% as reported in literature. However, to manually choose and fine-tune the deep learning models becomes laborious and indispensable…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Xuetao Jiang , Binbin Yong , Soheila Garshasbi , Jun Shen , Meiyu Jiang , Qingguo Zhou

Data-based discovery of effective, coarse-grained (CG) models of high-dimensional dynamical systems presents a unique challenge in computational physics and particularly in the context of multiscale problems. The present paper offers a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a comprehensive framework to produce statistically rigorous uncertainty sets for black-box machine learning models. To further improve the efficiency of CP, conformal correction is proposed to fine-tune or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Senrong Xu , Tianyu Wang , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

Conformal Prediction offers a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, enabling the construction of prediction sets with finite-sample validity guarantees. While easily adaptable to non-probabilistic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Eshant English , Christoph Lippert

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

Dirichlet regression models are suitable for compositional data, in which the response variable represents proportions that sum to one. However, there are still no well-established methods for constructing valid prediction sets in this…

This paper develops a conformal method to compute prediction intervals for non-parametric regression that can automatically adapt to skewed data. Leveraging black-box machine learning algorithms to estimate the conditional distribution of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Matteo Sesia , Yaniv Romano

Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI) given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This limitation arises from CP methods using a constant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular uncertainty quantification method that provides distribution-free, statistically valid prediction sets, assuming that training and test data are exchangeable. In such a case, CP's prediction sets are…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Linus Jeary , Tom Kuipers , Mehran Hosseini , Nicola Paoletti

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai