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相关论文: Tipping Point Forecasting in Non-Stationary Dynami…

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Neural operators aim to approximate the solution operator of a system of differential equations purely from data. They have shown immense success in modeling complex dynamical systems across various domains. However, the occurrence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Tipping points (TP) are often described as low-dimensional bifurcations, and are associated with early-warning signals (EWS) due to critical slowing down (CSD). CSD is an increase in amplitude and correlation of noise-induced fluctuations…

We demonstrate the real-time detection of dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) in lattice-confined spinor gases subject to a priori unknown time-variant interactions, via the temporal behaviors of both the system energy and spinor phases…

量子气体 · 物理学 2026-04-07 J. O. Austin-Harris , Z. N. Hardesty-Shaw , C. Binegar , P. Sigdel , T. Bilitewski , Y. Liu

Complex Earth System Models are widely utilised to make conditional statements about the future climate under some assumptions about changes in future atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations; these statements are often referred to as…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-06-05 Francisco de Melo Viríssimo , David A. Stainforth , Jochen Bröcker

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

In this paper, we will study the statistical behaviors of orbits. Firstly, we will show that for a dynamical systems have the shadowing property or almost specification property, the set of nonrecurrent points has full topological entropy.…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-01-22 Yiwei Dong , Xiaobo Hou , Wanshan Lin , Xueting Tian

We present a novel, model-free, and data-driven methodology for controlling complex dynamical systems into previously unseen target states, including those with significantly different and complex dynamics. Leveraging a parameter-aware…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-02-13 Daniel Köglmayr , Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

This article presents a general framework for recovering missing dynamical systems using available data and machine learning techniques. The proposed framework reformulates the prediction problem as a supervised learning problem to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-20 John Harlim , Shixiao W. Jiang , Senwei Liang , Haizhao Yang

This paper proposes an algorithm capable of driving a system to follow a piecewise linear trajectory without prior knowledge of the system dynamics. Motivated by a critical failure scenario in which a system can experience an abrupt change…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Taha Shafa , Yiming Meng , Melkior Ornik

Effective data-driven PDE forecasting methods often rely on fixed spatial and / or temporal discretizations. This raises limitations in real-world applications like weather prediction where flexible extrapolation at arbitrary spatiotemporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Yuan Yin , Matthieu Kirchmeyer , Jean-Yves Franceschi , Alain Rakotomamonjy , Patrick Gallinari

Topology optimization is a critical task in engineering design, where the goal is to optimally distribute material in a given space for maximum performance. We introduce Neural Implicit Topology Optimization (NITO), a novel approach to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-08 Amin Heyrani Nobari , Giorgio Giannone , Lyle Regenwetter , Faez Ahmed

Neural Operators (NOs) are a leading method for surrogate modeling of partial differential equations. Unlike traditional neural networks, which approximate individual functions, NOs learn the mappings between function spaces. While NOs have…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2025-08-01 Keith Poletti , Stella S. R. Offner , Rachel A. Ward

Non-stationary environments are challenging for reinforcement learning algorithms. If the state transition and/or reward functions change based on latent factors, the agent is effectively tasked with optimizing a behavior that maximizes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-21 Lucas N. Alegre , Ana L. C. Bazzan , Bruno C. da Silva

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Accurate prediction of laminar-turbulent transition is a critical element of computational fluid dynamics simulations for aerodynamic design across multiple flow regimes. Traditional methods of transition prediction cannot be easily…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-06-17 Muhammad I. Zafar , Meelan M. Choudhari , Pedro Paredes , Heng Xiao

Data-driven weather prediction models implicitly assume that the statistical relationship between predictors and targets is stationary. Under anthropogenic climate change, this assumption is violated, yet the structure of the resulting…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-26 Haokun Zhou

A universal formula is shown to predict the dynamics of public opinion including eventual sudden and unexpected outbreaks of minority opinions within a generic parameter space of five dimensions. The formula is obtained combining and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-04 Serge Galam , Taksu Cheon

We study the transport properties of nonautonomous chaotic dynamical systems over a finite time duration. We are particularly interested in those regions that remain coherent and relatively non-dispersive over finite periods of time,…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-05-19 Gary Froyland , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Adam Monahan