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Cosmological parameter inference has been dominated by the Bayesian approach for the past two decades, primarily due to its computational efficiency. However, the Bayesian approach involves integration of the posterior probability and…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-12-10 Emil Brinch Holm , Andreas Nygaard , Jeppe Dakin , Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

Likelihood profiling is an efficient and powerful frequentist approach for parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification and practical identifiablity analysis. Unfortunately, these methods cannot be easily applied for stochastic models…

Cosmological parameter estimation is traditionally performed in the Bayesian context. By adopting an "agnostic" statistical point of view, we show the interest of confronting the Bayesian results to a frequentist approach based on…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-07-12 S. Henrot-Versillé , O. Perdereau , S. Plaszczynski , B. Rouillé d'Orfeuil , M. Spinelli , M. Tristram

Frequentist parameter inference using profile likelihoods has received increased attention in the cosmology literature recently since it can give important complementary information to Bayesian credible intervals. Here, we give a…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 Laura Herold , Elisa G. M. Ferreira , Lukas Heinrich

The Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM) is one of the simplest and most widely-studied supersymmetric extensions to the standard model of particle physics. Nevertheless, current data do not sufficiently constrain the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2015-03-13 Yashar Akrami , Pat Scott , Joakim Edsjö , Jan Conrad , Lars Bergström

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Biclustering, the process of simultaneously clustering the rows and columns of a data matrix, is a popular and effective tool for finding structure in a high-dimensional dataset. Many biclustering procedures appear to work well in practice,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-04 Cheryl J. Flynn , Patrick O. Perry

Bayesian parameter inference is an essential tool in modern cosmology, and typically requires the calculation of $10^5$--$10^6$ theoretical models for each inference of model parameters for a given dataset combination. Computing these…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-06-16 Andreas Nygaard , Emil Brinch Holm , Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

Likelihood-free inference provides a rigorous approach to preform Bayesian analysis using forward simulations only. The main advantage of likelihood-free methods is its ability to account for complex physical processes and observational…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Sut-Ieng Tam , Keiichi Umetsu , Adam Amara

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Many models of interest in the natural and social sciences have no closed-form likelihood function, which means that they cannot be treated using the usual techniques of statistical inference. In the case where such models can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-19 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin

We present general, analytic methods for Cosmological likelihood analysis and solve the "many-parameters" problem in Cosmology. Maxima are found by Newton's Method, while marginalization over nuisance parameters, and parameter errors and…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-18 A. N. Taylor , T. D. Kitching

Statistical inference of the fundamental parameters of supersymmetric theories is a challenging and active endeavor. Several sophisticated algorithms have been employed to this end. While Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2015-03-17 F. Feroz , K. Cranmer , M. Hobson , R. Ruiz de Austri , R. Trotta

Profile likelihood provides a general framework to infer on a scalar parameter of a statistical model. A confidence interval is obtained by numerically finding the two abscissas where the profile log-likelihood curve intersects an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Yves Deville

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Bayesian evidence is a standard tool used for comparing the ability of different models to fit available data and is used extensively in cosmology. However, since the evidence calculation involves performing an integral of the likelihood…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-06-19 Camilla T. G. Sørensen , Steen Hannestad , Andreas Nygaard , Thomas Tram

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer
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