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Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

Many scientific questions in biomedical, environmental, and psychological research involve understanding the effects of multiple factors on outcomes. While factorial experiments are ideal for this purpose, randomized controlled treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Ruoqi Yu , Peng Ding

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-25 Henry Gouk , Bernhard Pfahringer , Eibe Frank

Variable selection in high-dimensional scenarios is of great interested in statistics. One application involves identifying differentially expressed genes in genomic analysis. Existing methods for addressing this problem have some limits or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-19 Liuhua Peng , Long Qu , Dan Nettleton

The wealth of data being gathered about humans and their surroundings drives new machine learning applications in various fields. Consequently, more and more often, classifiers are trained using not only numerical data but also complex data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Maciej Piernik , Dariusz Brzezinski , Pawel Zawadzki

Recently, interest has grown in the use of proxy variables of unobserved confounding for inferring the causal effect in the presence of unmeasured confounders from observational data. One difficulty inhibiting the practical use is finding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Feng Xie , Zhengming Chen , Shanshan Luo , Wang Miao , Ruichu Cai , Zhi Geng

Estimation of individual treatment effect in observational data is complicated due to the challenges of confounding and selection bias. A useful inferential framework to address this is the counterfactual (potential outcomes) model which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Min Lu , Saad Sadiq , Daniel J. Feaster , Hemant Ishwaran

We study various types of consistency of honest decision trees and random forests in the regression setting. In contrast to related literature, our proofs are elementary and follow the classical arguments used for smoothing methods. Under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We propose a tree-based algorithm for classification and regression problems in the context of functional data analysis, which allows to leverage representation learning and multiple splitting rules at the node level, reducing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

The estimation of causal treatment effects from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference. To avoid bias, the effect estimator must control for all confounders. Hence practitioners often collect data for as many…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-05 Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz-Rogozhnikov , Karthik Shanmugam

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

This paper examines from an experimental perspective random forests, the increasingly used statistical method for classification and regression problems introduced by Leo Breiman in 2001. It first aims at confirming, known but sparse,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2008-11-24 Robin Genuer , Jean-Michel Poggi , Christine Tuleau

Causal effect estimation is a critical task in statistical learning that aims to find the causal effect on subjects by identifying causal links between a number of predictor (or, explanatory) variables and the outcome of a treatment. In a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-12 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

Adapting machine learning algorithms to better handle the presence of clusters or batch effects within training datasets is important across a wide variety of biological applications. This article considers the effect of ensembling Random…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Maya Ramchandran , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Giovanni Parmigiani

Having a large number of covariates can have a negative impact on the quality of causal effect estimation since confounding adjustment becomes unreliable when the number of covariates is large relative to the samples available. Propensity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-15 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu

We present new insights into causal inference in the context of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects by proposing natural variants of Random Forests to estimate the key conditional distributions. To achieve this, we recast Breiman's original…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Qiming Du , Gérard Biau , François Petit , Raphaël Porcher

Evaluating causal treatment effects in observational studies requires addressing confounding. While the back-door criterion enables identification through adjustment for observed covariates, it fails in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Anna Guo , David Benkeser , Razieh Nabi

Random forests are popular methods for regression and classification analysis, and many different variants have been proposed in recent years. One interesting example is the Mondrian random forest, in which the underlying constituent trees…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-10 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , William G. Underwood

We discuss estimation and inference of conditional treatment effects in regression discontinuity (RD) designs with multiple scores. In addition to local linear regressions and the minimax-optimal estimator more recently proposed by Imbens…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-10 Yiqi Liu , Yuan Qi