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Modern empirical work in Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often employs local polynomial estimation and inference with a mean square error (MSE) optimal bandwidth choice. This bandwidth yields an MSE-optimal RD treatment effect…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-21 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an informative tool in binary classification and Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) is a popular metric for reporting performance of binary classifiers. In this paper, first we present a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-14 Khashayar Namdar , Masoom A. Haider , Farzad Khalvati

Connectivity in connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) introduces vulnerability to cyber threats such as false data injection (FDI) attacks, which can compromise system reliability and safety. To ensure resilience, this paper proposes a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-21 Parisa Ansari Bonab , Elisabeth Andarge Gedefaw , Mohammad Khajenejad

Reliability Assessment is an indispensable technology for identifying, interpreting, and lessening the potential failures in safety-critical systems like smart grids. Failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) is one of the well documented…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-11 Shravan Kumar Akula , Hossein Salehfar , Shayan Behzadirafi

To provide rigorous uncertainty quantification for online learning models, we develop a framework for constructing uncertainty sets that provably control risk -- such as coverage of confidence intervals, false negative rate, or F1 score --…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-30 Shai Feldman , Liran Ringel , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in high-dimensional variable selection requires balancing rigorous error control with statistical power. Existing methods with provable guarantees are often overly conservative, creating a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Arnau Vilella , Jasin Machkour , Michael Muma , Daniel P. Palomar

Frontier artificial intelligence (AI) systems could pose increasing risks to public safety and security. But what level of risk is acceptable? One increasingly popular approach is to define capability thresholds, which describe AI…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Leonie Koessler , Jonas Schuett , Markus Anderljung

This study investigates the efficacy of machine learning models in network security threat detection through the critical lens of partial versus complete flow information, addressing a common gap between research settings and real-time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Adrian Pekar , Richard Jozsa

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) instances is crucial for the reliable deployment of machine learning models in real-world scenarios. OOD inputs are commonly expected to cause a more uncertain prediction in the primary task; however,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Mohammad Azizmalayeri , Ameen Abu-Hanna , Giovanni Cinà

The safety validation of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and Automated Driving Systems (ADS) increasingly demands efficient and reliable methods to quantify residual risk while adhering to international standards such as ISO…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Daniel Betschinske , Malte Schrimpf , Steven Peters , Kamil Klonecki , Jan Peter Karch , Moritz Lippert

The false discovery rate (FDR)---the expected fraction of spurious discoveries among all the discoveries---provides a popular statistical assessment of the reproducibility of scientific studies in various disciplines. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Weijie Su , Junyang Qian , Linxi Liu

We study the inference problem in the group testing to identify defective items from the perspective of the decision theory. We introduce Bayesian inference and consider the Bayesian optimal setting in which the true generative process of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-22 Ayaka Sakata , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Kernel methods represent one of the most powerful tools in machine learning to tackle problems expressed in terms of function values and derivatives due to their capability to represent and model complex relations. While these methods show…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-06 Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Zoltan Szabo

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) provides a rational and sound framework for finding the optimal design while taking uncertainties into ac-count. The main issue in implementing RBDO methods, particularly stochastic simu-lation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Wang-Sheng Liu , Sai Hung Cheung

Face morphing attacks present a significant threat to face recognition systems used in electronic identity enrolment and border control, particularly in single-image morphing attack detection (S-MAD) scenarios where no trusted reference is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Diogo J. Paulo , Hugo Proença , João C. Neves

Rapidly advancing artificial intelligence (AI) systems introduce novel, uncertain, and potentially catastrophic risks. Managing these risks requires a mature risk-management infrastructure whose cornerstone is rigorous risk modeling. We…

Wireless Federated Learning (FL) is an emerging distributed machine learning paradigm, particularly gaining momentum in domains with confidential and private data on mobile clients. However, the location-dependent performance, in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-18 Mohamed Ads , Hesham ElSawy , Hossam S. Hassanein

Collaborative AI systems aim at working together with humans in a shared space to achieve a common goal. This setting imposes potentially hazardous circumstances due to contacts that could harm human beings. Thus, building such systems with…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-03-15 Matteo Camilli , Michael Felderer , Andrea Giusti , Dominik T. Matt , Anna Perini , Barbara Russo , Angelo Susi

The precision of contouring target structures and organs-at-risk (OAR) in radiotherapy planning is crucial for ensuring treatment efficacy and patient safety. Recent advancements in deep learning (DL) have significantly improved OAR…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-30 Marvin Tom Teichmann , Manasi Datar , Lisa Kratzke , Fernando Vega , Florin C. Ghesu

Optimal experimental design (OED) is a framework that leverages a mathematical model of the experiment to identify optimal conditions for conducting the experiment. Under a Bayesian approach, the design objective function is typically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Thomas E. Coons , Xun Huan