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A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

Bayesian model selection enables comparison and ranking of conceptual subsurface models described by spatial prior models, according to the support provided by available geophysical data. Deep generative neural networks can efficiently…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-05-19 M. Amaya , N. Linde , E. Laloy

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

This paper considers the problem of using MCMC to fit sparse Bayesian models based on normal scale-mixture priors. Examples of this framework include the Bayesian LASSO and the horseshoe prior. We study the usefulness of parameter expansion…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-10-27 James G. Scott

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian bi-level variable selection problem in high-dimensional regressions. In many practical situations, it is natural to assign group membership to each predictor. Examples include that genetic variants can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-03-29 Mingxuan Cai , Mingwei Dai , Jingsi Ming , Heng Peng , Jin Liu , Can Yang

Variable selection is crucial for sparse modeling in this age of big data. Missing values are common in data, and make variable selection more complicated. The approach of multiple imputation (MI) results in multiply imputed datasets for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Yong-Shiuan Lee

We use Bayesian model selection paradigms, such as group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator priors, to facilitate generalized additive model selection. Our approach allows for the effects of continuous predictors to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-29 Virginia X. He , Matt P. Wand

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

Recent likelihood theory produces $p$-values that have remarkable accuracy and wide applicability. The calculations use familiar tools such as maximum likelihood values (MLEs), observed information and parameter rescaling. The usual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-08 M. Bédard , D. A. S. Fraser , A. Wong

Statistical inference of the fundamental parameters of supersymmetric theories is a challenging and active endeavor. Several sophisticated algorithms have been employed to this end. While Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2015-03-17 F. Feroz , K. Cranmer , M. Hobson , R. Ruiz de Austri , R. Trotta

Bayesian neural learning feature a rigorous approach to estimation and uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution of weights that represent knowledge of the neural network. This not only provides point estimates of optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Ratneel V. Deo , Sally Cripps

Bayesian methods hold significant promise for improving the uncertainty quantification ability and robustness of deep neural network models. Recent research has seen the investigation of a number of approximate Bayesian inference methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Meet P. Vadera , Adam D. Cobb , Brian Jalaian , Benjamin M. Marlin

We propose a new approach for solving planning problems with a hierarchical structure, fusing reinforcement learning and MPC planning. Our formulation tightly and elegantly couples the two planning paradigms. It leverages reinforcement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Toshiaki Hori , Jonathan DeCastro , Deepak Gopinath , Avinash Balachandran , Guy Rosman

We develop a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that exploits a hierarchy of models of increasing complexity to efficiently generate samples from an unnormalized target distribution. Broadly, the method rewrites the Multilevel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , Colin Fox , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl

This paper focuses on variational inference with intractable likelihood functions that can be unbiasedly estimated. A flexible variational approximation based on Gaussian mixtures is developed, by adopting the mixture population Monte Carlo…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-02 Zhijian He , Shifeng Huo , Tianhui Yang

We introduce GAMSEL (Generalized Additive Model Selection), a penalized likelihood approach for fitting sparse generalized additive models in high dimension. Our method interpolates between null, linear and additive models by allowing the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-18 Alexandra Chouldechova , Trevor Hastie

This article was motivated by the desire to improve Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for spatial survival models in which the locations of individuals in space are known. For a dataset comprising information on n individuals, standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-09 Benjamin M. Taylor

Many scientific and engineering problems require to perform Bayesian inferences for unknowns of infinite dimension. In such problems, many standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms become arbitrary slow under the mesh refinement,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-04 Zixi Hu , Zhewei Yao , Jinglai Li