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Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-01 Natalia Ponomareva , Thomas Colthurst , Gilbert Hendry , Salem Haykal , Soroush Radpour

Machine learning has emerged as a promising paradigm for enabling connected, automated vehicles to autonomously cruise the streets and react to unexpected situations. A key challenge, however, is to collect and select real-time and reliable…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2020-02-19 Alaa Awad Abdellatif , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini , Francesco Malandrino

Boosting is a general method of generating many simple classification rules and combining them into a single, highly accurate rule. In this talk, I will review the AdaBoost boosting algorithm and some of its underlying theory, and then look…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Robert E. Schapire

Bond prices are a reflection of extremely complex market interactions and policies, making prediction of future prices difficult. This task becomes even more challenging due to the dearth of relevant information, and accuracy is not the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-04 Swetava Ganguli , Jared Dunnmon

Travel time is a crucial measure in transportation. Accurate travel time prediction is also fundamental for operation and advanced information systems. A variety of solutions exist for short-term travel time predictions such as solutions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-09 Jihed Khiari , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-07 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Laurent Rouvìère

Price prediction is one of the examples related to forecasting tasks and is a project based on data science. Price prediction analyzes data and predicts the cost of new products. The goal of this research is to achieve an arrangement to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Aidin Zehtab-Salmasi , Ali-Reza Feizi-Derakhshi , Narjes Nikzad-Khasmakhi , Meysam Asgari-Chenaghlu , Saeideh Nabipour

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

The internet has changed the way we live, work and take decisions. As it is the major modern resource for research, detailed data on internet usage exhibits vast amounts of behavioral information. This paper aims to answer the question…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-02 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann

Motion prediction and cost evaluation are vital components in the decision-making system of autonomous vehicles. However, existing methods often ignore the importance of cost learning and treat them as separate modules. In this study, we…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Zhiyu Huang , Peter Karkus , Boris Ivanovic , Yuxiao Chen , Marco Pavone , Chen Lv

Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Kaushal Kumar

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). Although deep learning-based approaches - especially those utilizing transformer-based and generative models - have…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Junwei You , Rui Gan , Weizhe Tang , Zilin Huang , Jiaxi Liu , Zhuoyu Jiang , Haotian Shi , Keshu Wu , Keke Long , Sicheng Fu , Sikai Chen , Bin Ran

Besides serving as prediction models, classification trees are useful for finding important predictor variables and identifying interesting subgroups in the data. These functions can be compromised by weak split selection algorithms that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-03 Wei-Yin Loh

In this paper we tackle the problem of point and probabilistic forecasting by describing a blending methodology of machine learning models that belong to gradient boosted trees and neural networks families. These principles were…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-23 Ioannis Nasios , Konstantinos Vogklis

Auctions are becoming an increasingly popular method for transacting business, especially over the Internet. This article presents a general approach to building autonomous bidding agents to bid in multiple simultaneous auctions for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-28 J. A. Csirik , M. L. Littman , D. McAllester , R. E. Schapire , P. Stone

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

In recent years, machine learning (ML) techniques have become a powerful tool for improving the accuracy of predictions and decision-making. Machine learning technologies have begun to penetrate all areas, including the real estate sector.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Oleh Pastukh , Viktor Khomyshyn

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke