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The evaluation of climate models is a crucial step in climate studies. It consists of quantifying the resemblance of model outputs to reference data to identify models with superior capacity to replicate specific climate variables. Clearly,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-07-11 Mario J. Gómez , Luis A. Barboza , Hugo G. Hidalgo , Eric J. Alfaro

An unresolved problem of present generation coupled climate models is the realistic distribution of rainfall over Indian monsoon region, which is also related to the persistent dry bias over Indian land mass. Therefore, quantitative…

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Atmospheric aerosols influence the Earth's climate, primarily by affecting cloud formation and scattering visible radiation. However, aerosol-related physical processes in climate simulations are highly uncertain. Constraining these…

This study assesses the relative importance of time integration error in present-day climate simulations conducted with the atmosphere component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (EAMv1) at 1-degree horizontal resolution.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-03-02 Hui Wan , Shixuan Zhang , Philip J. Rasch , Vincent E. Larson , Xubin Zeng , Huiping Yan

This paper proposes minimum sliced distance estimation in structural econometric models with possibly parameter-dependent supports. In contrast to likelihood-based estimation, we show that under mild regularity conditions, the minimum…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-10 Yanqin Fan , Hyeonseok Park

Earth System Models (ESM) are important tools that allow us to understand and quantify the physical, chemical & biological mechanisms governing the rates of change of elements of the Earth System, comprising of the atmosphere, ocean, land,…

Sliced inverse regression is one of the most popular sufficient dimension reduction methods. Originally, it was designed for independent and identically distributed data and recently extend to the case of serially and spatially dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Christoph Muehlmann , Hannu Oja , Klaus Nordhausen

A leading goal for climate science and weather risk management is to accurately model both the physics and statistics of extreme events. These two goals are fundamentally at odds: the higher a computational model's resolution, the more…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-06 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

The idea of slicing divergences has been proven to be successful when comparing two probability measures in various machine learning applications including generative modeling, and consists in computing the expected value of a `base…

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-19 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Climate models are essential for assessing the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on our changing climate and the resulting increase in the frequency and severity of natural disasters. Despite the widespread acceptance of climate models…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-11-08 Vsevolod Morozov , Artem Galliamov , Aleksandr Lukashevich , Antonina Kurdukova , Yury Maximov

We propose a new unsupervised anomaly detection method based on the sliced-Wasserstein distance for training data selection in machine learning approaches. Our filtering technique is interesting for decision-making pipelines deploying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Julien Pallage , Antoine Lesage-Landry

Statistical modeling of monthly, seasonal, or annual rainfall data is an important research area in meteorology. These models play a crucial role in rainfed agriculture, where a proper assessment of the future availability of rainwater is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Arnab Hazra , Abhik Ghosh

Dynamical downscaling with high-resolution regional climate models may offer the possibility of realistically reproducing precipitation and weather events in climate simulations. As resolutions fall to order kilometers, the use of explicit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Won Chang , Jiali Wang , Julian Marohnic , Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Technological advances in high performance computing and maturing physical models allow scientists to simulate weather and climate evolutions with an increasing accuracy. While this improved accuracy allows us to explore complex dynamical…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Simon Schneegans , Lori Neary , Markus Flatken , Andreas Gerndt

Distance queries are a basic tool in data analysis. They are used for detection and localization of change for the purpose of anomaly detection, monitoring, or planning. Distance queries are particularly useful when data sets such as…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Edith Cohen

Projections of future climate change rely heavily on climate models, and combining climate models through a multi-model ensemble is both more accurate than a single climate model and valuable for uncertainty quantification. However,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-27 Huang Huang , Dorit Hammerling , Bo Li , Richard Smith

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti
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