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Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

The forecasting of Multivariate Time Series (MTS) has long been an important but challenging task. Due to the non-stationary problem across long-distance time steps, previous studies primarily adopt stationarization method to attenuate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Muyao Wang , Wenchao Chen , Bo Chen

This work presents a generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) designed for modeling financial time series. The GPT functions as an order generation engine within a discrete event simulator, enabling realistic replication of limit order book…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-11-26 Aaron Wheeler , Jeffrey D. Varner

Transformer-based models have shown strong performance in time-series forecasting by leveraging self-attention to model long-range temporal dependencies. However, their effectiveness depends critically on the quality and structure of input…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Saurish Nagrath , Saroj Kumar Panigrahy

Time series forecasting is an important problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. In this paper, we propose to tackle such forecasting problem with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-06 Shiyang Li , Xiaoyong Jin , Yao Xuan , Xiyou Zhou , Wenhu Chen , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

In this work we propose for the first time a transformer-based framework for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate time series. Pre-trained models can be potentially used for downstream tasks such as regression and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 George Zerveas , Srideepika Jayaraman , Dhaval Patel , Anuradha Bhamidipaty , Carsten Eickhoff

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Time series forecasting (TSF) is an essential branch of machine learning with various applications. Most methods for TSF focus on constructing different networks to extract better information and improve performance. However, practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Haoyu Xing , Hualong Yu , Qinghua Hu

Transformer has become one of the most popular architectures for multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Recent Transformer-based MTS models generally prefer channel-independent structures with the observation that channel independence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Ce Chi , Xing Wang , Kexin Yang , Zhiyan Song , Di Jin , Lin Zhu , Chao Deng , Junlan Feng

Probabilistic forecasting is essential for modern risk management, allowing decision-makers to quantify uncertainty in critical systems. This paper tackles this challenge using the volatile REFIT household dataset, which is complicated by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Midhun Manoj

The paper benchmarks several Transformer models [4], to show how these models can judge sentiment from a news event. This signal can then be used for downstream modelling and signal identification for commodity trading. We find that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-24 Edward Sharkey , Philip Treleaven

Transformers have revolutionized performance in Natural Language Processing and Vision, paving the way for their integration with Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). One key challenge in enhancing graph transformers is strengthening the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Yun Young Choi , Sun Woo Park , Minho Lee , Youngho Woo

Transformer-based models have greatly pushed the boundaries of time series forecasting recently. Existing methods typically encode time series data into $\textit{patches}$ using one or a fixed set of patch lengths. This, however, could…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 Linfeng Du , Ji Xin , Alex Labach , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs , Rahul G. Krishnan

Real-world time-series datasets often violate the assumptions of standard supervised learning for forecasting -- their distributions evolve over time, rendering the conventional training and model selection procedures suboptimal. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Sercan O. Arik , Nathanael C. Yoder , Tomas Pfister

A time series forecasting model--which is typically built on a single time series--is known as a local time series model (tsLM). In contrast, a forecasting model trained on multiple time series is referred to as a global time series model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Junru Ren , Shaomin Wu

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in machine learning, as it has a wide range of applications including but not limited to forecasting electricity consumption, traffic, and air quality. Traditional forecasting models rely on rolling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-22 Shereen Elsayed , Daniela Thyssens , Ahmed Rashed , Hadi Samer Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Spatio-Temporal video grounding (STVG) focuses on retrieving the spatio-temporal tube of a specific object depicted by a free-form textual expression. Existing approaches mainly treat this complicated task as a parallel frame-grounding…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Yang Jin , Yongzhi Li , Zehuan Yuan , Yadong Mu

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

Transformer-based models for time series forecasting (TSF) have attracted significant attention in recent years due to their effectiveness and versatility. However, these models often require extensive hyperparameter optimization (HPO) to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Jingjing Xu , Caesar Wu , Yuan-Fang Li , Grégoire Danoy , Pascal Bouvry

Large-scale foundation models for EEG signals offer a promising path to generalizable brain-computer interface (BCI) applications, but they often suffer from misalignment between pretraining objectives and downstream tasks, as well as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Suli Wang , Yangshen Deng , Zhenghua Bao , Xinyu Zhan , Yiqun Duan