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Multifidelity approximate Bayesian computation (MF-ABC) is a likelihood-free technique for parameter inference that exploits model approximations to significantly increase the speed of ABC algorithms (Prescott and Baker, 2020). Previous…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) provides methods for Bayesian inference in simulation-based stochastic models which do not permit tractable likelihoods. We present a new ABC method which uses probabilistic neural emulator networks to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Giacomo Bassetto , Theofanis Karaletsos , Jakob H. Macke

Stochastic reaction network models are often used to explain and predict the dynamics of gene regulation in single cells. These models usually involve several parameters, such as the kinetic rates of chemical reactions, that are not…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Thomas A. Catanach , Huy D. Vo , Brian Munsky

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

This work introduces a new method designed for Bayesian deep learning called scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo (SBMC). The method is comprised of a model and an algorithm. The model interpolates between a point estimator and the posterior. The…

We use approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) combined with an "improved" Markov chain Monte Carlo (IMCMC) method to estimate posterior distributions of model parameters in subgrid-scale (SGS) closures for large eddy simulations (LES) of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-05-29 Olga A. Doronina , Colin A. Z. Towery , Peter E. Hamlington

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has become one of the major tools of likelihood-free statistical inference in complex mathematical models. Simultaneously, stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have developed to an established tool…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-08 Evelyn Buckwar , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Irene Tubikanec

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

Multi-electrode arrays (MEAs) can record extracellular action potentials (also known as 'spikes') from hundreds or thousands of neurons simultaneously. Inference of a functional network from a spike train is a fundamental and formidable…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Yun Zhao , Richard Jiang , Zhenni Xu , Elmer Guzman , Paul K. Hansma , Linda Petzold

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods offer a principled approach to Bayesian uncertainty quantification but are traditionally limited by the need for full-batch gradient evaluations. We introduce a scalable variant by incorporating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Andrew Millard , Zheng Zhao , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell

Approximate Bayesian Computation has been successfully used in population genetics to bypass the calculation of the likelihood. These methods provide accurate estimates of the posterior distribution by comparing the observed dataset to a…

Objective: Brain networks have gained increasing recognition as potential biomarkers in mental health studies, but there are limited approaches that can leverage complex brain networks for accurate classification. Our goal is to develop a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Jin Ming , Suprateek Kundu

Bayesian inference for exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) is a doubly-intractable problem because of the intractability of both the likelihood and posterior normalizing factor. Auxiliary variable based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are increasingly used for inference in situations in which the likelihood function is either computationally costly or intractable to evaluate. Extensions of the basic ABC rejection algorithm…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-01 Umberto Simola , Jessica Cisewski-Kehe , Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

The paper presents a Bayesian framework for the calibration of financial models using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs), for which we also formulate a global universal approximation theorem based on Barron-type…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-12 Christa Cuchiero , Eva Flonner , Kevin Kurt

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon

We use approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) to estimate unknown parameter values, as well as their uncertainties, in Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations of turbulent flows. The ABC method approximates posterior…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-11-04 Olga A. Doronina , Scott M. Murman , Peter E. Hamlington

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a family of computational techniques in Bayesian statistics. These techniques allow to fi t a model to data without relying on the computation of the model likelihood. They instead require to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Maxime Lenormand , Franck Jabot , Guillaume Deffuant