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The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

In this paper, the relationship between probabilistic graphical models, in particular Bayesian networks, and causal diagrams, also called structural causal models, is studied. Structural causal models are deterministic models, based on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Peter J. F. Lucas , Eleonora Zullo , Fabio Stella

Causal diagrams are logic and graphical tools that depict assumptions about presumed causal relations. Such diagrams have proven effective in tackling a variety of problems in social sciences and epidemiology research yet remain foreign to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-29 M. Z. Naser

Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

To perform effective causal inference in high-dimensional datasets, initiating the process with causal discovery is imperative, wherein a causal graph is generated based on observational data. However, obtaining a complete and accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Elahe Khatibi , Mahyar Abbasian , Zhongqi Yang , Iman Azimi , Amir M. Rahmani

Causal terminology is often introduced in the interpretation of encoding and decoding models trained on neuroimaging data. In this article, we investigate which causal statements are warranted and which ones are not supported by empirical…

Machine learning is a vital part of many real-world systems, but several concerns remain about the lack of interpretability, explainability and robustness of black-box AI systems. Concept Bottleneck Models (CBM) address some of these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Hidde Fokkema , Tim van Erven , Sara Magliacane

We show how, and under which conditions, the equilibrium states of a first-order Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) system can be described with a deterministic Structural Causal Model (SCM). Our exposition sheds more light on the concept…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Joris Mooij , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

We show how, and under which conditions, the equilibrium states of a first-order Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) system can be described with a deterministic Structural Causal Model (SCM). Our exposition sheds more light on the concept…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2013-05-01 Joris M. Mooij , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper outlines a general formal framework for reasoning systems, intended to support future analysis of inference architectures across domains. We model reasoning systems as structured tuples comprising phenomena, explanation space,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Saleh Nikooroo , Thomas Engel

The postulate of independence of cause and mechanism (ICM) has recently led to several new causal discovery algorithms. The interpretation of independence and the way it is utilized, however, varies across these methods. Our aim in this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-08 Michel Besserve , Naji Shajarisales , Bernhard Schölkopf , Dominik Janzing

Inferring the potential consequences of an unobserved event is a fundamental scientific question. To this end, Pearl's celebrated do-calculus provides a set of inference rules to derive an interventional probability from an observational…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Benjamin Heymann , Michel de Lara , Jean-Philippe Chancelier

Detecting offensive memes is crucial, yet standard deep neural network systems often remain opaque. Various input attribution-based methods attempt to interpret their behavior, but they face challenges with implicitly offensive memes and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Dibyanayan Bandyopadhyay , Mohammed Hasanuzzaman , Asif Ekbal

Recently there has been significant interest in using causal modelling techniques to understand the structure of physical theories. However, the notion of `causation' is limiting - insisting that a physical theory must involve causal…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2023-07-24 Mordecai Waegell , Kelvin J. McQueen , Emily C. Adlam

Algorithmic decisions about individuals require predictions that are not only accurate but also fair with respect to sensitive attributes such as gender and race. Causal notions of fairness align with legal requirements, yet many methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Yoichi Chikahara

Structural analysis methods (e.g., probing and feature attribution) are increasingly important tools for neural network analysis. We propose a new structural analysis method grounded in a formal theory of causal abstraction that provides…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Atticus Geiger , Hanson Lu , Thomas Icard , Christopher Potts

Contemporary machine learning optimizes for predictive accuracy, yet systems that achieve state of the art performance remain causally opaque: their internal representations provide no principled handle for intervention. We can retrain such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Marcus Thomas

Structural Equation Models (SEM) are the standard approach to representing causal dependencies between variables in causal models. In this paper we propose a new interpretation of SEMs when reasoning about Actual Causality, in which SEMs…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Maksim Gladyshev , Natasha Alechina , Mehdi Dastani , Dragan Doder , Brian Logan

Causality plays an important role in understanding intelligent behavior, and there is a wealth of literature on mathematical models for causality, most of which is focused on causal graphs. Causal graphs are a powerful tool for a wide range…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Scott Garrabrant , Matthias Georg Mayer , Magdalena Wache , Leon Lang , Sam Eisenstat , Holger Dell

Causal reasoning provides a language to ask important interventional and counterfactual questions beyond purely statistical association. In medical imaging, for example, we may want to study the causal effect of genetic, environmental, or…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-24 Rajat Rasal , Daniel C. Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker