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We propose a doubly robust approach to characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies. We develop a frequentist inferential procedure that utilizes posterior distributions for both the propensity score and outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Heejun Shin , Joseph Antonelli

In this review, we present econometric and statistical methods for analyzing randomized experiments. For basic experiments we stress randomization-based inference as opposed to sampling-based inference. In randomization-based inference,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

Predictions and generations from large language models are increasingly being explored as an aid in limited data regimes, such as in computational social science and human subjects research. While prior technical work has mainly explored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Yewon Byun , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary C. Lipton , Rachel Leah Childers , Bryan Wilder

Mixed effects (ME) models inform a vast array of problems in the physical and social sciences, and are pervasive in meta-analysis. We consider ME models where the random effects component is linear. We then develop an efficient approach for…

Attrition in survey and field experiments presents a challenge for social science research. Common approaches to deal with this problem -- such as complete case analysis, multiple imputation, and weighting methods -- rely on strong…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Xiangyu Song

Integrating multiple observational studies for meta-analysis has sparked much interest. The presented R package WMAP (Weighted Meta-Analysis with Pseudo-Population) addresses a critical gap in the implementation of integrative weighting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Subharup Guha , Mengqi Xu , Kashish Priyam , Yi Li

Randomized controlled trials are the standard method for estimating causal effects, ensuring sufficient statistical power and confidence through adequate sample sizes. However, achieving such sample sizes is often challenging. This study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

Important questions for impact evaluation require knowledge not only of average effects, but of the distribution of treatment effects. The inability to observe individual counterfactuals makes answering these empirical questions…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-25 Bruno Fava

We present a novel statistical treatment, the "metastatistics of extreme events", for calculating the frequency of extreme events. This approach, which is of general validity, is the proper statistical framework to address the problem of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-14 Massimiliano Ignaccolo , Marco Marani

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the accepted standard for treatment effect estimation but they can be infeasible due to ethical reasons and prohibitive costs. Single-arm trials, where all patients belong to the treatment group, can…

The Cox model is an indispensable tool for time-to-event analysis, particularly in biomedical research. However, medicine is undergoing a profound transformation, generating data at an unprecedented scale, which opens new frontiers to study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Alexander W. Jung , Moritz Gerstung

Randomized experiments have become a cornerstone of evidence-based decision-making in contexts ranging from online platforms to public health. However, in experimental settings with network interference, a unit's treatment can influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Sadegh Shirani , Yuwei Luo , William Overman , Ruoxuan Xiong , Mohsen Bayati

Many methods have been proposed to estimate treatment effects with observational data. Often, the choice of the method considers the application's characteristics, such as type of treatment and outcome, confounding effect, and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-20 Raquel Aoki , Martin Ester

When considering the effect a treatment will cause in a population of interest, we often look to evidence from randomized controlled trials. In settings where multiple trials on a treatment are available, we may wish to synthesize the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-08 Nicole Schnitzler , Eloise Kaizar

Real-World Data (RWD), with its large sample sizes and rich clinical detail, offers a compelling alternative to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for studying treatment effects in diverse and complex patient populations. However, its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Yifei Xu , Hwiyoung Lee , Zhenyao Ye , Yezhi Pan , Jingsong Zhou , Yun Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used to compare multiple interventions simultaneously by synthesizing direct and indirect evidence. The general fixed or random effects contrast-based NMA model can be applied to different outcomes and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Harlan Campbell , Jeroen P. Jansen

Objective Bayesian inference procedures are derived for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model generalized to elliptically contoured distributions. The posterior for the overall mean vector and the between-study covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-07 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

Learning representations for counterfactual inference from observational data is of high practical relevance for many domains, such as healthcare, public policy and economics. Counterfactual inference enables one to answer "What if...?"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-28 Patrick Schwab , Lorenz Linhardt , Walter Karlen

Epidemiologic studies often evaluate the association between an exposure and an event risk. When time-varying, exposure updates usually occur at discrete visits although changes are in continuous time and survival models require values to…

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