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The scheduling and operation of power system becomes prominently complex and uncertain, especially with the penetration of distributed power. Load forecasting matters to the effective operation of power system. This paper proposes a novel…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-05-10 Tinghui Ouyang , Yusen He , Huajin Li , Zhiyu Sun , Stephen Baek

Power grid expansion planning requires making large investment decisions in the present that will impact the future cost and reliability of a system exposed to wide-ranging uncertainties. Extreme temperatures can pose significant challenges…

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-09 James Rice

Simultaneous load forecasting across multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings) is crucial for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective operation of power systems. Accurate load forecasting is a challenging problem due to the inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

A dynamic coupled modelling is investigated to take temperature into account in the individual energy consumption forecasting. The objective is both to avoid the inherent complexity of exhaustive SARIMAX models and to take advantage of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-07-03 Sophie Bercu , Frédéric Proïa

This paper addresses the critical challenge of improving predictions of climate extreme events, specifically heat waves, using machine learning methods. Our work is framed as a classification problem in which we try to predict whether…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Julien Collard , Pierre Gentine , Tian Zheng

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Explainable AI (XAI) is an active research area to interpret a neural network's decision by ensuring transparency and trust in the task-specified learned models. Recently, perturbation-based model analysis has shown better interpretation,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Mahesh Sudhakar , Sam Sattarzadeh , Konstantinos N. Plataniotis , Jongseong Jang , Yeonjeong Jeong , Hyunwoo Kim

Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Accurate and reliable state of charge (SoC) estimation becomes increasingly important to provide a stable and efficient environment for Lithium-ion batteries (LiBs) powered devices. Most data-driven SoC models are built for a fixed ambient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-12 Yan Qin , Stefan Adams , Chau Yuen

Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) is a fundamental component in the efficient management of power systems, which has been studied intensively over the past 50 years. The emerging development of smart grid technologies is posing new…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-02-28 The-Hien Dang-Ha , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Roland Olsson

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

A new index for high-impact weather forecasting is introduced and assessed in comparison with the well-established extreme forecast index (EFI). Two other ensemble summary statistics are also included in this comparison study: the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Zied Ben-Bouallegue

In this paper a model is developed to solve the on/off scheduling of (non-linear) dynamic electric loads based on predictions of the power delivery of a (standalone) solar power source. Knowledge of variations in the solar power output is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-29 Abdulelah H. Habib , Jan Kleissl , Raymond A. de Callafon

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

Due to effective pattern mining and feature representation, neural forecasting models based on deep learning have achieved great progress. The premise of effective learning is to collect sufficient data. However, in time series forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Yan Gao , Yan Wang , Qiang Wang