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In the electric system, extreme weather events can cause trips or physical damage to transmission lines, leading to large-scale load shedding. To mitigate power shedding, we propose a framework that pre-positions the commitment of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-07 Yongzheng Dai , Antonio J. Conejo , Feng Qiu

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

Extreme weather events stemming from climate change can cause significant damage and disruption to power systems. Failure to mitigate and adapt to climate change and its cascading effects can lead to short and long term issues. The profound…

应用物理 · 物理学 2022-09-22 Rouzbeh Shirvani , Tarannom Parhizkar

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Accurate electrochemical models are essential for the safe and efficient operation of lithium-ion batteries in real-world applications such as electrified vehicles and grid storage. Reduced-order models (ROM) offer a balance between…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-02 Samuel Filgueira da Silva , Mehmet Fatih Ozkan , Faissal El Idrissi , Marcello Canova

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

Accurate electricity demand forecasts play a crucial role in sustainable power systems. To enable better decision-making especially for demand flexibility of the end-user, it is necessary to provide not only accurate but also understandable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-17 Dilini Rajapaksha , Christoph Bergmeir

Estimating rare events in complex systems is a key challenge in reliability analysis. The challenge grows in multimodal problems, where traditional methods often rely on a small set of design points and risk overlooking critical failure…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-04 Sara Helal , Victor Elvira

Extreme events are the major weather-related hazard for humanity. It is then of crucial importance to have a good understanding of their statistics and to be able to forecast them. However, lack of sufficient data makes their study…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-13 Valeria Mascolo , Alessandro Lovo , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

A machine learning model is proposed in this paper to help estimate potential nodal load curtailment in response to an extreme event. This is performed through identifying which grid components will fail as a result of an extreme event, and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics and artificial intelligence prediction models typically rely…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-10 Xuepeng Chen , Jing-Jia Luo , Qingqing Li , Fan Meng

Threats against power grids continue to increase, as extreme weather conditions and natural disasters (extreme events) become more frequent. Hence, there is a need for the simulation and modeling of power grids to reflect realistic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-09 Sarmad Hanif , Monish Mukherjee , Shiva Poudel , Rohit A Jinsiwale , Min Gyung Yu , Trevor Hardy , Hayden Reeve

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

This study proposes Structural Gating and Effect-aligned Discovery for Temporal Causal Discovery (SGED-TCD), a novel and general framework for lag-resolved causal discovery in complex multivariate time series. SGED-TCD combines explicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Rui Chen , Jinsong Wu

The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and its variants have been extensively employed in the load and renewable forecasting literature. Using this multiresolution decomposition, time series (TS) related to the historical load and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-24 Nima Safari , George Price , Chi Yung Chung

Over the past fifty years, numerous software defect prediction (SDP) approaches have been proposed. However, the ability to explain why predictors make certain predictions remains limited. Explainable SDP has emerged as a promising solution…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Guifang Xu , Zhiling Zhu , Xingcheng Guo , Wei Wang

The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer scales in order to improve forecasts at wider scales. In…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-23 Anestis Antoniadis , Solenne Gaucher , Yannig Goude

This study proposes a unified forecasting framework for high-dimensional multi-task time series to meet the prediction demands of cloud native backend systems operating under highly dynamic loads, coupled metrics, and parallel tasks. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Zixiao Huang , Jixiao Yang , Sijia Li , Chi Zhang , Jinyu Chen , Chengda Xu