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相关论文: On the term "randomization test"

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Classifiers are often tested on relatively small data sets, which should lead to uncertain performance metrics. Nevertheless, these metrics are usually taken at face value. We present an approach to quantify the uncertainty of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Niklas Tötsch , Daniel Hoffmann

Currently, statistical tests for random number generators (RNGs) are widely used in practice, and some of them are even included in information security standards. But despite the popularity of RNGs, consistent tests are known only for…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-17 Boris Ryabko

The injunction to `analyze the way you randomize' is well-known to statisticians since Fisher advocated for randomization as the basis of inference. Yet even those convinced by the merits of randomization-based inference seldom follow this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Nicole E. Pashley , Guillaume W. Basse , Luke W. Miratrix

In this paper, we consider the fundamental problem of testing for monotone trend in a time series. While the term "trend" is commonly used and has an intuitive meaning, it is first crucial to specify its exact meaning in a hypothesis…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-11 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

Consider a researcher estimating the parameters of a regression function based on data for all 50 states in the United States or on data for all visits to a website. What is the interpretation of the estimated parameters and the standard…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-25 Alberto Abadie , Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

Analytical quality assurance, especially testing, is an integral part of software-intensive system development. With the increased usage of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) as part of such systems, this becomes more…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-10-07 Lisa Jöckel , Thomas Bauer , Michael Kläs , Marc P. Hauer , Janek Groß

The problem of scheduling with testing in the framework of explorable uncertainty models environments where some preliminary action can influence the duration of a task. In the model, each job has an unknown processing time that can be…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-08-20 Susanne Albers , Alexander Eckl

This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability models (or ratio of constants) is a fundamental issue in many…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-13 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino , David Delgado , Javier Lopez-Santiago

The incorporation of uncertainties to calculations of signal significance in planned experiments is an actual task. Several approaches to this problem are discussed. We present a procedure for taking into account the systematic uncertainty…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. I. Bityukov

In the report the approach to estimation of quality of planned experiments is considered. This approach is based on the analysis of uncertainty, which will take place under the future hypotheses testing about the existence of a new…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Quantitative definitions of what is unfair and what is fair have been introduced in multiple disciplines for well over 50 years, including in education, hiring, and machine learning. We trace how the notion of fairness has been defined…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-12-05 Ben Hutchinson , Margaret Mitchell

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

In recent years a popular nonparametric model for coarsened data is an assumption on the coarsening mechanism called coarsening at random (CAR). It has been conjectured in several papers that this assumption cannot be tested by the data,…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Eric A. Cator

In this paper, we propose a statistical test to determine whether a given word is used as a polysemic word or not. The statistic of the word in this test roughly corresponds to the fluctuation in the senses of the neighboring words a nd the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-09-27 Kana Oomoto , Haruka Oikawa , Eiko Yamamoto , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

In this article the idea of random variables over the set theoretic universe is investigated. We explore what it can mean for a random set to have a specific probability of belonging to an antecedently given class of sets.

逻辑 · 数学 2019-03-21 Hazel Brickhill , Leon Horsten

Machine and Statistical learning techniques become more and more important for the analysis of psychological data. Four core concepts of machine learning are the bias variance trade-off, cross-validation, regularization, and basis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-27 Mark de Rooij , Bunga Citra Pratiwi , Marjolein Fokkema , Elise Dusseldorp , Henk Kelderman

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein

This writing: a) Draws attention to the intricacies inherent to the pursuit of a universal seizure definition even when powerful, well understood signal analysis methods are utilized to this end; b) Identifies this aim as a multi-objective…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2011-11-15 Ivan Osorio , Alexey Lyubushin , Didier Sornette

We construct a financial "Turing test" to determine whether human subjects can differentiate between actual vs. randomized financial returns. The experiment consists of an online video-game (http://arora.ccs.neu.edu) where players are…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-02-26 Jasmina Hasanhodzic , Andrew W. Lo , Emanuele Viola