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We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

This paper introduces new methods for constructing prediction intervals using quantile-based techniques. The procedures are developed for both classical (homoscedastic) autoregressive models and modern quantile autoregressive models. They…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Silvia Novo , César Sánchez-Sellero

Bayesian quantum estimation provides a robust framework for quantum technologies, especially in scenarios with limited data and minimal prior information. Yet, its application to continuous-variable Gaussian systems has remained limited and…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Edward Gandar , Jesús Rubio

We present the results of studying the influence of different environmental states on the coherence of quantum processes. We choose to discuss a simple model which describe two electronic reservoirs connected through tunneling via a…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Ping Ao , Staffan Grundberg , Jørgen Rammer

We present a simple and efficient Bayesian recursive algorithm for the data-pattern scheme for quantum state reconstruction, which is applicable to situations where measurement settings can be controllably varied efficiently. The algorithm…

We present a new framework for recycling independent variational approximations to Gaussian processes. The main contribution is the construction of variational ensembles given a dictionary of fitted Gaussian processes without revisiting any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-07 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

Many deep neural networks have been used to solve Ising models, including autoregressive neural networks, convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks, and graph neural networks. Learning a probability distribution of energy…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-11-20 Qunlong Ma , Zhi Ma , Jinlong Xu , Hairui Zhang , Ming Gao

We consider a computational model composed of ideal Gottesman-Kitaev-Preskill stabilizer states, Gaussian operations - including all rational symplectic operations and all real displacements -, and homodyne measurement. We prove that such…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-09-12 Cameron Calcluth , Alessandro Ferraro , Giulia Ferrini

Model predictive control solves a constrained optimization problem online in order to compute an implicit closed-loop control policy. Recursive feasibility -- guaranteeing that the optimal control problem will have a solution at every time…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-16 Jacob W. Knaup , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Conformal prediction methods provide statistically rigorous marginal coverage guarantees for machine learning models, but such guarantees fail to account for algorithmic biases, thereby undermining fairness and trust. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Senrong Xu , Yanke Zhou , Yuhao Tan , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

Generative Autoregressive Neural Networks (ARNNs) have recently demonstrated exceptional results in image and language generation tasks, contributing to the growing popularity of generative models in both scientific and commercial…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2024-03-26 Indaco Biazzo

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

In nature, active inference agents must learn how observations of the world represent the state of the agent. In engineering, the physics behind sensors is often known reasonably accurately and measurement functions can be incorporated into…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-20 Wouter M. Kouw

We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Joseph D. Futoma , Daniel N. Rockmore , Sinead Williamson

For autoregressive modeling of chaotic dynamical systems over long time horizons, the stability of both training and inference is a major challenge in building scientific foundation models. We present a hybrid technique in which an…

Neural network quantum states provide a novel representation of the many-body states of interacting quantum systems and open up a promising route to solve frustrated quantum spin models that evade other numerical approaches. Yet its…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2022-01-19 Eric Zou , Erik Long , Erhai Zhao

Generative modeling using samples drawn from the probability distribution constitutes a powerful approach for unsupervised machine learning. Quantum mechanical systems can produce probability distributions that exhibit quantum correlations…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-10-07 Xun Gao , Eric R. Anschuetz , Sheng-Tao Wang , J. Ignacio Cirac , Mikhail D. Lukin

Stochastic models for quantum state reduction give rise to statistical laws that are in most respects in agreement with those of quantum measurement theory. Here we examine the correspondence of the two theories in detail, making a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. L. Adler , D. C. Brody , T. A. Brun , L. P. Hughston