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In clinical follow-up studies with a time-to-event end point, the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) is a suitable substitute for the hazard ratio (HR). However, the RMST only measures the survival of patients over a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Zijing Yang , Chengfeng Zhang , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

Predicting mortality-related outcomes from images offers the prospect of accessible, noninvasive, and scalable health screening. We present a method that leverages pretrained vision transformer foundation models to estimate remaining…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Tristan Kenneweg , Philip Kenneweg , Barbara Hammer

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) from right-censored survival data is critical in high-stakes applications such as precision medicine and individualized policy-making. Yet, the survival analysis setting poses unique…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Shahriar Noroozizadeh , Xiaobin Shen , Jeremy C. Weiss , George H. Chen

Mendelian diseases are determined by a single mutation in a given gene. However, in the case of diseases with late onset, the age at onset is variable; it can even be the case that the onset is not observed in a lifetime. Estimating the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-15 Flora Alarcon , Gregory Nuel , Violaine Plante-Bordeneuve

Survival analysis deals with modeling the time until an event occurs, and accurate probability estimates are crucial for decision-making, particularly in the competing-risks setting where multiple events are possible. While recent work has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Julie Alberge , Tristan Haugomat , Gaël Varoquaux , Judith Abécassis

The Concordance Index (C-index) is a commonly used metric in Survival Analysis for evaluating the performance of a prediction model. In this paper, we propose a decomposition of the C-index into a weighted harmonic mean of two quantities:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Abdallah Alabdallah , Mattias Ohlsson , Sepideh Pashami , Thorsteinn Rögnvaldsson

In this paper, we propose a flexible model for survival analysis using neural networks along with scalable optimization algorithms. One key technical challenge for directly applying maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to censored data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Jiaqi Ma , Qiaozhu Mei , Ji Zhu

We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of aggregation units, such as geographical areas. Existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Cory McCartan , Shiro Kuriwaki

Nonparametric and semiparametric methods are commonly used in survival analysis to mitigate the bias due to model misspecification. However, such methods often cannot estimate upper-tail survival quantiles when a sizable proportion of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-19 Yifan Wang , Tian You , Martin Lysy

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Decisions based upon pairwise comparisons of multiple treatments are naturally performed in terms of the mean survival of the selected study arms or functions thereof. However, synthesis of treatment comparisons is usually performed on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Anastasios Apsemidis , Dimitris Mavridis , Nikolaos Demiris

Survival analysis, a vital tool for predicting the time to event, has been used in many domains such as healthcare, criminal justice, and finance. Like classification tasks, survival analysis can exhibit bias against disadvantaged groups,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Tianyang Xie , Yong Ge

Bayesian nonparametric marginal methods are very popular since they lead to fairly easy implementation due to the formal marginalization of the infinite-dimensional parameter of the model. However, the straightforwardness of these methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

Economists are often interested in estimating averages with respect to distributions of unobservables, such as moments of individual fixed-effects, or average partial effects in discrete choice models. For such quantities, we propose and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-07 Stéphane Bonhomme , Martin Weidner

We propose a general index model for survival data, which generalizes many commonly used semiparametric survival models and belongs to the framework of dimension reduction. Using a combination of geometric approach in semiparametrics and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-17 Ge Zhao , Yanyuan Ma , Wenbin Lu

This paper presents a Bayesian framework for assessing the adequacy of a model without the necessity of explicitly enumerating a specific alternate model. A test statistic is developed for tracking the performance of the model across…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-25 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson

We study the problem of model selection in causal inference, specifically for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. Unlike machine learning, there is no perfect analogue of cross-validation for model selection as we do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Divyat Mahajan , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Brady Neal , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We study the conditional expert Kaplan-Meier estimator, an extension of the classical Kaplan--Meier estimator designed for time-to-event data subject to both right-censoring and contamination. Such contamination, where observed events may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Martin Bladt , Kristian Vilhelm Dinesen

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava