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Identifying ``true causality'' is a fundamental challenge in complex systems research. Widely adopted methods, like the Granger causality test, capture statistical dependencies between variables rather than genuine driver-response…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-05 Yingzhu Liu , Shengyuan Huang , Zhongkui Li , Xiaoguang Yang , Wenjun Mei

We aim to mine temporal causal sequences that explain observed events (consequents) in time-series traces. Causal explanations of key events in a time-series has applications in design debugging, anomaly detection, planning, root-cause…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Antonio Anastasio Bruto da Costa , Pallab Dasgupta

Causal analysis based on non-uniform embedding schemes is an important way to detect the underlying interactions between dynamic systems. However, there are still some obstacles to estimate high-dimensional conditional mutual information…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Ziyu Jia , Youfang Lin , Zehui Jiao , Yan Ma , Jing Wang

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Much of scientific data is collected as randomized experiments intervening on some and observing other variables of interest. Quite often, a given phenomenon is investigated in several studies, and different sets of variables are involved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-19 Antti Hyttinen , Frederick Eberhardt , Patrik O. Hoyer

The science of causality explains/determines 'cause-effect' relationship between the entities of a system by providing mathematical tools for the purpose. In spite of all the success and widespread applications of machine-learning (ML)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Aditi Kathpalia , Keerti P. Charantimath , Nithin Nagaraj

Going beyond correlations, the understanding and identification of causal relationships in observational time series, an important subfield of Causal Discovery, poses a major challenge. The lack of access to a well-defined ground truth for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Andrew R. Lawrence , Marcus Kaiser , Rui Sampaio , Maksim Sipos

Much of our experiments are designed to uncover the cause(s) and effect(s) behind a data generating mechanism (i.e., phenomenon) we happen to be interested in. Uncovering such relationships allows us to identify the true working of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 M. Z. Naser

We describe a method for inferring linear causal relations among multi-dimensional variables. The idea is to use an asymmetry between the distributions of cause and effect that occurs if both the covariance matrix of the cause and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2009-09-25 Dominik Janzing , Patrik O. Hoyer , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Causality testing, the act of determining cause and effect from measurements, is widely used in physics, climatology, neuroscience, econometrics and other disciplines. As a result, a large number of causality testing methods based on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-02-20 Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

The machine learning community has recently devoted much attention to the problem of inferring causal relationships from statistical data. Most of this work has focused on uncovering connections among scalar random variables. We generalize…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-07-10 Doris Entner , Patrik O. Hoyer

The aim of this paper is to discuss a recent result which shows that probabilistic inference in the presence of (unknown) causal mechanisms can be tractable for models that have traditionally been viewed as intractable. This result was…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-08 Adnan Darwiche

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

Causal discovery from data affected by unobserved variables is an important but difficult problem to solve. The effects that unobserved variables have on the relationships between observed variables are more complex in nonlinear cases than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-07 Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

Discovering causal relationships from observational data is a challenging task that relies on assumptions connecting statistical quantities to graphical or algebraic causal models. In this work, we focus on widely employed assumptions for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-20 Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

Coupled dynamical systems are frequently observed in nature, but often not well understood in terms of their causal structure without additional domain knowledge about the system. Especially when analyzing observational time series data of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Will Glad , Thomas Woolf

In many scientific fields, such as economics and neuroscience, we are often faced with nonstationary time series, and concerned with both finding causal relations and forecasting the values of variables of interest, both of which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-01 Biwei Huang , Kun Zhang , Mingming Gong , Clark Glymour

Identifying causal relations among simultaneously acquired signals is an important problem in multivariate time series analysis. For linear stochastic systems Granger proposed a simple procedure called the Granger causality to detect such…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Yonghong Chen , Govindan Rangarajan , Jianfeng Feng , Mingzhou Ding

To draw scientifically meaningful conclusions and build reliable models of quantitative phenomena, cause and effect must be taken into consideration (either implicitly or explicitly). This is particularly challenging when the measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-11 Max A. Little , Reham Badawy