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Many time series, particularly health data streams, can be best understood as a sequence of phenomenon or events, which we call \textit{motifs}. A time series motif is a short trace segment which may implicitly capture an underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Josephine Lamp , Mark Derdzinski , Christopher Hannemann , Sam Hatfield , Joost van der Linden

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between two time series. The proposed measure is a random variable whose expected sum is the directed information. A realization of the proposed measure may be used to identify…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

Our evolution as a species made a huge step forward when we understood the relationships between causes and effects. These associations may be trivial for some events, but they are not in complex scenarios. To rigorously prove that some…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2021-07-13 Martí Pedemonte , Jordi Vitrià , Álvaro Parafita

Recent work has shown promising results in causal discovery by leveraging interventional data with gradient-based methods, even when the intervened variables are unknown. However, previous work assumes that the correspondence between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Gonçalo R. A. Faria , André F. T. Martins , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

The relationship between statistical dependency and causality lies at the heart of all statistical approaches to causal inference. Recent results in the ChaLearn cause-effect pair challenge have shown that causal directionality can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-12-22 Gianluca Bontempi , Maxime Flauder

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Daniel J Graham

Methods to identify cause-effect relationships currently mostly assume the variables to be scalar random variables. However, in many fields the objects of interest are vectors or groups of scalar variables. We present a new constraint-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

Understanding causality helps to structure interventions to achieve specific goals and enables predictions under interventions. With the growing importance of learning causal relationships, causal discovery tasks have transitioned from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Hang Chen , Keqing Du , Xinyu Yang , Chenguang Li

To represent the causal relationships between variables, a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is widely utilized in many areas, such as social sciences, epidemics, and genetics. Many causal structure learning approaches are developed to learn the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Jianian Wang , Rui Song

Research in Cognitive Science suggests that humans understand and represent knowledge of the world through causal relationships. In addition to observations, they can rely on experimenting and counterfactual reasoning -- i.e. referring to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-24 Kanvaly Fadiga , Etienne Houzé , Ada Diaconescu , Jean-Louis Dessalles

An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of…

Many questions in Data Science are fundamentally causal in that our objective is to learn the effect of some exposure, randomized or not, on an outcome interest. Even studies that are seemingly non-causal, such as those with the goal of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Hachem Saddiki , Laura B. Balzer

It is crucial to consider the social and ethical consequences of AI and ML based decisions for the safe and acceptable use of these emerging technologies. Fairness, in particular, guarantees that the ML decisions do not result in…

This paper considers how to classify the effects of interventions in causal models for outcomes and exposures observed over time. First, we demonstrate the limitations of the most common uses of potential outcomes and causal directed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Russell Steele , Naftali Weinberger , Tess Baker , Ian Shrier

Causal discovery is at the core of human cognition. It enables us to reason about the environment and make counterfactual predictions about unseen scenarios that can vastly differ from our previous experiences. We consider the task of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Yunzhu Li , Antonio Torralba , Animashree Anandkumar , Dieter Fox , Animesh Garg

Inference of causality is central in nonlinear time series analysis and science in general. A popular approach to infer causality between two processes is to measure the information flow between them in terms of transfer entropy. Using…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-04-16 Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt

Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-30 Marcus Klasson , Kun Zhang , Bo C. Bertilson , Cheng Zhang , Hedvig Kjellström

The inaccessibility of controlled randomized trials due to inherent constraints in many fields of science has been a fundamental issue in causal inference. In this paper, we focus on distinguishing the cause from effect in the bivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Jean-Francois Ton , Dino Sejdinovic , Kenji Fukumizu

Causal discovery algorithms allow for the inference of causal structures from probabilistic relations of random variables. A natural field for the application of this tool is quantum mechanics, where a long-standing debate about the role of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-04-19 R. Rossi

There is growing interest in the study of causal methods in the Earth sciences. However, most applications have focused on causal discovery, i.e. inferring the causal relationships and causal structure from data. This paper instead examines…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-05-04 Adam Massmann , Pierre Gentine , Jakob Runge
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