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Tree ensembles, such as random forests and AdaBoost, are ubiquitous machine learning models known for achieving strong predictive performance across a wide variety of domains. However, this strong performance comes at the cost of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Summer Devlin , Chandan Singh , W. James Murdoch , Bin Yu

We present a boosting-based method to learn additive Structural Equation Models (SEMs) from observational data, with a focus on the theoretical aspects of determining the causal order among variables. We introduce a family of score…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-15 Maximilian Kertel , Nadja Klein

Estimators in statistics and machine learning must typically trade off between efficiency, having low variance for a fixed target, and distributional robustness, such as multiaccuracy, or having low bias over a range of possible targets. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 David Bruns-Smith , Zhongming Xie , Avi Feller

Symbolic regression searches for analytic expressions that accurately describe studied phenomena. The main attraction of this approach is that it returns an interpretable model that can be insightful to users. Historically, the majority of…

Academic research and the financial industry have recently paid great attention to Machine Learning algorithms due to their power to solve complex learning tasks. In the field of firms' default prediction, however, the lack of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Lisa Crosato , Caterina Liberati , Marco Repetto

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni

The field of health informatics has been profoundly influenced by the development of random forest models, which have led to significant advances in the interpretability of feature interactions. These models are characterized by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Akshat Dubey , Aleksandar Anžel , Georges Hattab

Growing anthropogenic pressures have increased the need for robust predictive models. Meeting this demand requires approaches that can handle bigger data to yield forecasts that capture the variability and underlying uncertainty of…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-08-06 EM Wolkovich , T Jonathan Davies , William D Pearse , Michael Betancourt

Polygenic risk scores can be used to model the individual genetic liability for human traits. Current methods primarily focus on modeling the mean of a phenotype neglecting the variance. However, genetic variants associated with phenotypic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-26 Qiong Wu , Hannah Klinkhammer , Kiran Kunwar , Christian Staerk , Carlo Maj , Andreas Mayr

The aim of this project is to develop and test advanced analytical methods to improve the prediction accuracy of Credit Risk Models, preserving at the same time the model interpretability. In particular, the project focuses on applying an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-09 Neus Llop Torrent , Giorgio Visani , Enrico Bagli

Intelligent agents working in real-world environments must be able to learn about the environment and its capabilities which enable them to take actions to change to the state of the world to complete a complex multi-step task in a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Rajesh Mangannavar

Multi-target regression is useful in a plethora of applications. Although random forest models perform well in these tasks, they are often difficult to interpret. Interpretability is crucial in machine learning, especially when it can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-30 Avraam Bardos , Nikolaos Mylonas , Ioannis Mollas , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are favored in many regression and binary classification problems because they are able to fit complex, nonlinear functions while still remaining interpretable. In the first part of this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-03 Xuezhou Zhang , Sarah Tan , Paul Koch , Yin Lou , Urszula Chajewska , Rich Caruana

Environments with controllable dynamics are usually understood in terms of explicit models. However, such models are not always available, but may sometimes be learned by exploring an environment. In this work, we investigate using an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Peter N. Loxley , Friedrich T. Sommer

In agricultural landscapes, the composition and spatial configuration of cultivated and semi-natural elements strongly impact species dynamics, their interactions and habitat connectivity. To allow for landscape structural analysis and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-03-05 Patrizia Zamberletti , Julien Papaïx , Edith Gabriel , Thomas Opitz

Given functional data from a survival process with time-dependent covariates, we derive a smooth convex representation for its nonparametric log-likelihood functional and obtain its functional gradient. From this, we devise a generic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Donald K. K. Lee , Ningyuan Chen , Hemant Ishwaran

This paper proposes an interpretable non-model sharing collaborative data analysis method as one of the federated learning systems, which is an emerging technology to analyze distributed data. Analyzing distributed data is essential in many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Akira Imakura , Hiroaki Inaba , Yukihiko Okada , Tetsuya Sakurai

Predicting competitive outcomes typically requires fitting dynamical models to data, from which interaction strengths and coexistence indicators such as invasion criteria can be produced. Methods that allow to propagate parameter…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-04-10 Matthieu Paquet , Frédéric Barraquand

The emergence and impact of tipping points have garnered significant interest in both the social and natural sciences. Despite widespread recognition of the importance of feedbacks between human and natural systems, it is often assumed that…

Small additive ensembles of symbolic rules offer interpretable prediction models. Traditionally, these ensembles use rule conditions based on conjunctions of simple threshold propositions $x \geq t$ on a single input variable $x$ and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-27 Shahrzad Behzadimanesh , Pierre Le Bodic , Geoffrey I. Webb , Mario Boley