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In the dynamic cyber threat landscape, effective decision-making under uncertainty is crucial for maintaining robust information security. This paper introduces the Cyber Resilience Index (CRI), a threat-informed probabilistic approach to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-09 Lampis Alevizos , Vinh-Thong Ta

Quantifying cyber risks is essential for organizations to grasp their vulnerability to threats and make informed decisions. However, current approaches still need to work on blending economic viewpoints to provide insightful analysis. To…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Muriel Figueredo Franco , Aiatur Rahaman Mullick , Santosh Jha

Cyber networks are fundamental to many organization's infrastructure, and the size of cyber networks is increasing rapidly. Risk measurement of the entities/endpoints that make up the network via available knowledge about possible threats…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-29 Arda Bayer , David Maluf , Behnaam Aazhang

Threat modeling has emerged as a key process for understanding relevant threats within businesses. However, understanding the importance of threat events is rarely driven by the business incorporating the system. Furthermore, prioritization…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Jan von der Assen , Muriel F. Franco , Muyao Dong , Burkhard Stiller

Considering the ever-evolving threat landscape and rapid changes in software development, we propose a risk assessment framework called SAFER (Software Analysis Framework for Evaluating Risk). This framework is based on the necessity of a…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Sarah Ali Siddiqui , Chandra Thapa , Rayne Holland , Wei Shao , Seyit Camtepe

The increasing value of data held in enterprises makes it an attractive target to attackers. The increasing likelihood and impact of a cyber attack have highlighted the importance of effective cyber risk estimation. We propose two methods…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-04-23 Raisa Dzhamtyrova , Carsten Maple

It is of growing concern to ensure the resilience in electricity infrastructure systems to extreme weather events with the help of appropriate hardening measures and new operational procedures. An effective mitigation strategy requires a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-19 Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Anjan Bose

The challenge of decision-making under uncertainty in information security has become increasingly important, given the unpredictable probabilities and effects of events in the ever-changing cyber threat landscape. Cyber threat intelligence…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-07-17 Martijn Dekker , Lampis Alevizos

The rapid advancement of quantum computing poses a significant threat to many current security algorithms used for secure communication, digital authentication, and information encryption. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer could…

We provide an approach that closely estimates an organization's cyber resources directly from vulnerability timestamps, using a non-stationary queueing framework. Traditional attack-surface metrics operate on static snapshots, ignoring the…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Abdullah Y. Etcibasi , Zachary Dobos , C. Emre Koksal

Safety is a critical concern in learning-enabled autonomous systems especially when deploying these systems in real-world scenarios. An important challenge is accurately quantifying the uncertainty of unknown models to generate provably…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

This paper addresses the urgent need for a cybersecurity framework tailored to quantum communication systems as the world transitions to quantum-safe infrastructures. While quantum communication promises unbreakable security, real-world…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-10-28 Michal Krelina , Tom Sorger , Bob Dirks

Robust planning in interactive scenarios requires predicting the uncertain future to make risk-aware decisions. Unfortunately, due to long-tail safety-critical events, the risk is often under-estimated by finite-sampling approximations of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-13 Haruki Nishimura , Jean Mercat , Blake Wulfe , Rowan McAllister , Adrien Gaidon

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

Covert quantum communication (CQC) seeks to hide not only message content but also the existence of communication. Existing CQC models usually assume deterministic or worst-case channel conditions, which are difficult to justify in…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-20 Abbas Arghavani , Shahid Raza , Maryam Amiri , Alessandro Papadopoulos

By building on a recently introduced genetic-inspired attribute-based conceptual framework for safety risk analysis, we propose a novel methodology to compute construction univariate and bivariate construction safety risk at a situational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Antoine J. -P. Tixier , Matthew R. Hallowell , Balaji Rajagopalan

The emergence of large-scale quantum computing threatens widely deployed public-key cryptographic systems, creating an urgent need for enterprise-level methods to assess post-quantum (PQ) readiness. While PQ standards are under development,…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Rasmus Erlemann , Charles Colyer Morris , Sanjyot Sathe

This letter addresses essential aspects of threat assessment by proposing intent-driven threat models that incorporate both capabilities and intents. We propose a holistic framework for cyber physical awareness (CPA) in space networks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Selen Gecgel Cetin , Tolga Ovatman , Gunes Karabulut Kurt

Probability Quantification (PQ) predictions of the efficacy of safety-critical protective systems is challenging. Yet, the popularity of PQ methodologies (e.g., Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA), Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-10 Martin Wortman , Ernest Kee , Pranav Kannan
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