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Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Camara Pereira

The ability to accurately predict public transit ridership demand benefits passengers and transit agencies. Agencies will be able to reallocate buses to handle under or over-utilized bus routes, improving resource utilization, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Jose Paolo Talusan , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Dan Freudberg , Abhishek Dubey

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

The communication revolution that happened in the last ten years has increased the use of technology in the transportation world. Intelligent Transportation Systems wish to predict how many buses are needed in a transit system. With the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Ismail Arai , Samy El-Tawab , Ahmad Salman , Ahmed Elnoshokaty

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

In this paper, we propose machine learning solutions to predict the time of future trips and the possible distance the vehicle will travel. For this prediction task, we develop and investigate four methods. In the first method, we use long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Ebrahim Balouji , Jonas Sjöblom , Nikolce Murgovski , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Given an increasingly volatile climate, the relationship between weather and transit ridership has drawn increasing interest. However, challenges stemming from spatio-temporal dependency and non-stationarity have not been fully addressed in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-22 Francisco Rowe , Michael Mahony , Sui Tao

Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

Reorganizing bus frequency to cater for the actual travel demand can save the cost of the public transport system significantly. Many, if not all, existing studies formulate this as a bus frequency optimization problem which tries to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-09-30 Songsong Mo , Zhifeng Bao , Baihua Zheng , Zhiyong Peng

Predicting future bus trip chains for an existing user is of great significance for operators of public transit systems. Existing methods always treat this task as a time-series prediction problem, but the 1-dimensional time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Xiannan Huang , Yixin Chen , Quan Yuan , Chao Yang

In the modern transportation industry, accurate prediction of travelers' next destinations brings multiple benefits to companies, such as customer satisfaction and targeted marketing. This study focuses on developing a precise model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Salih Salihoglu , Gulser Koksal , Orhan Abar

An important aspect of public bus transit is its reliability of being on-time, which has a major impact on bus ridership. Currently, there is no unified national standard to measure bus on-time performance in the United States. This paper…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-23 Snehanshu Banerjee , Mohammadreza Jabehdari , Ross Turlington , Cole Greene

We formalize one aspect of reliability in the context of Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems by acknowledging the uncertainty in the pick-up time of these services. This study answers two key questions: i) how the difference between the stated…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-04-18 Prateek Bansal , Yang Liu , Ricardo Daziano , Samitha Samaranayake

Ride sharing has important implications in terms of environmental, social and individual goals by reducing carbon footprints, fostering social interactions and economizing commuter costs. The ride sharing systems that are commonly available…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-07-07 Shaona Ghosh , Kevin Page , David De Roure

Even before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, bus ridership in the United States had attained its lowest level since 1973. If transit agencies hope to reverse this trend, they must understand how their service allocation policies affect…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-13 Simon Berrebi , Sanskruti Joshi , Kari E Watkins

Service reliability is critical to transit service delivery. This paper describes headway control pilots conducted in two high-ridership Chicago bus routes between 2022 and 2023. A decision support system was developed for a bus holding…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Joseph Rodriguez , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Bicycle-sharing systems, which can provide shared bike usage services for the public, have been launched in many big cities. In bicycle-sharing systems, people can borrow and return bikes at any stations in the service region very…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-04-05 Jiawei Zhang , Xiao Pan , Moyin Li , Philip S. Yu

An analysis of the characteristics and behavior of individual bus stops can reveal clusters of similar stops, which can be of use in making routing and scheduling decisions, as well as determining what facilities to provide at each stop.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-15 Laura L. Tupper , David S. Matteson , John C. Handley

An important aspect of the quality of a public transport service is its reliability, which is defined as the invariability of the service attributes. Preventive measures taken during planning can reduce risks of unreliability throughout…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-05 Léa Ricard , Guy Desaulniers , Andrea Lodi , Louis-Martin Rousseau

Many factors can affect the predictability of public bus services such as traffic, weather and local events. Other aspects, such as day of week or hour of day, may influence bus travel times as well, either directly or in conjunction with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Matthias Kormaksson , Luciano Barbosa , Marcos R. Vieira , Bianca Zadrozny
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