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Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Nick Pawlowski , Andrew Brock , Matthew C. H. Lee , Martin Rajchl , Ben Glocker

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Proximal Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a novel construct that lies at the intersection of Bayesian computation and convex optimization, which helped popularize the use of nondifferentiable priors in Bayesian statistics. Existing formulations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Qiang Heng , Hua Zhou , Eric C. Chi

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Neuronal ensemble inference is a significant problem in the study of biological neural networks. Various methods have been proposed for ensemble inference from experimental data of neuronal activity. Among them, Bayesian inference approach…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2021-06-03 Shun Kimura , Keisuke Ota , Koujin Takeda

Bayesian methods hold significant promise for improving the uncertainty quantification ability and robustness of deep neural network models. Recent research has seen the investigation of a number of approximate Bayesian inference methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Meet P. Vadera , Adam D. Cobb , Brian Jalaian , Benjamin M. Marlin

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Bayesian deep learning offers a principled way to address many issues concerning safety of artificial intelligence (AI), such as model uncertainty,model interpretability, and prediction bias. However, due to the lack of efficient Monte…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Sehwan Kim , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

In many signal processing problems, it may be fruitful to represent the signal under study in a frame. If a probabilistic approach is adopted, it becomes then necessary to estimate the hyper-parameters characterizing the probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-14 L. Chaâri , J. -C. Pesquet , J. -Y. Tourneret , Ph. Ciuciu , A. Benazza-Benyahia

The Bayesian estimation of the unknown parameters of state-space (dynamical) systems has received considerable attention over the past decade, with a handful of powerful algorithms being introduced. In this paper we tackle the theoretical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-13 Joaquin Miguez , Ines P. Mariño , Manuel A. Vazquez

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a class of algorithms for drawing Markovian samples from high-dimensional target densities to approximate the numerical integration associated with computing statistical expectation, especially in Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Khoa T. Tran

Variable selection is a key issue when analyzing high-dimensional data. The explosion of data with large sample sizes and dimensionality brings new challenges to this problem in both inference accuracy and computational complexity. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-30 Xu Chen , Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar

The Bayesian elastic net regression model is characterized by the regression coefficient prior distribution, the negative log density of which corresponds to the elastic net penalty function. While Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Christopher M. Hans , Ningyi Liu

Frequentist and likelihood methods of inference based on the multivariate skew-normal model encounter several technical difficulties with this model. In spite of the popularity of this class of densities, there are no broadly satisfactory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-06 Brunero Liseo , Antonio Parisi

Bayesian neural learning feature a rigorous approach to estimation and uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution of weights that represent knowledge of the neural network. This not only provides point estimates of optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Ratneel V. Deo , Sally Cripps

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful tool for sampling from complex probability distributions. Despite its versatility, MCMC often suffers from strong autocorrelation and the negative sign problem, leading to slowing down the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-05 Synge Todo

We present a Bayesian approach to estimate the parameters of mathematical models of cardiac electrophysiology with quantified uncertainty. Such models capture the dynamics of the electrical signal that coordinates the muscle cell…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-02 Maarten Volkaerts , Marie Cloet , Hans Dierckx , Piet Claus , Giovanni Samaey

We present a novel technique for learning the mass matrices in samplers obtained from discretized dynamics that preserve some energy function. Existing adaptive samplers use Riemannian preconditioning techniques, where the mass matrices are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-08 Anirban Roychowdhury , Srinivasan Parthasarathy