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Bayesian model selection, with precedents in George and McCulloch (1993) and Abramovich et al. (1998), support credibility measures that relate model uncertainty, but computation can be costly when sparse priors are approximate. We design…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-13 Alan Lenarcic , William Valdar

The combinatorial sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) has been demonstrated to be an efficient complementary method to the standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for Bayesian phylogenetic tree inference using biological sequences. It is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Shijia Wang , Liangliang Wang

We introduce a novel stochastic variational inference method for Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) regression, by deriving a posterior over a learnable set of coresets: i.e., over pseudo-input/output, weighted pairs. Unlike former free-form…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-06 Mert Ketenci , Adler Perotte , Noémie Elhadad , Iñigo Urteaga

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method that introduces a proposal distribution to sample the space according to the target distribution. Yet calibration of the proposal distribution is essential to achieving efficiency, thus the resort…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Grégoire Aufort , Pierre Pudlo , Denis Burgarella

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

Latent class analysis is used to perform model based clustering for multivariate categorical responses. Selection of the variables most relevant for clustering is an important task which can affect the quality of clustering considerably.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-17 Arthur White , Jason Wyse , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Gibbs sampling methods are standard tools to perform posterior inference for mixture models. These have been broadly classified into two categories: marginal and conditional methods. While conditional samplers are more widely applicable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Pierpaolo De Blasi , María F. Gil-Leyva

In geostatistics, Gaussian random fields are often used to model heterogeneities of soil or subsurface parameters. To give spatial approximations of these random fields, they are discretized. Then, different techniques of geostatistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Sebastian Reuschen , Fabian Jobst , Wolfgang Nowak

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, such as the particle filter, are by now one of the standard computational techniques for addressing the filtering problem in general state-space models. However, many applications require…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Fredrik Lindsten , Pete Bunch , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön , Simon J. Godsill

Many Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods leverage gradient information of the potential function of target distribution to explore sample space efficiently. However, computing gradients can often be computationally expensive for large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-24 Ruilin Li , Xin Wang , Hongyuan Zha , Molei Tao

The marginal likelihood is a central tool for drawing Bayesian inference about the number of components in mixture models. It is often approximated since the exact form is unavailable. A bias in the approximation may be due to an incomplete…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Jeong Eun Lee , Christian P. Robert

Globally, Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) experiments have revealed evidence supporting an existing gravitational wave background (GWB) signal in the PTA data set. Apart from acquiring more observations, the sensitivity of PTA experiments can be…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-04-03 El Mehdi Zahraoui , Patricio Maturana-Russel , Willem van Straten , Renate Meyer , Sergei Gulyaev

This paper considers how to obtain MCMC quantitative convergence bounds which can be translated into tight complexity bounds in high-dimensional {settings}. We propose a modified drift-and-minorization approach, which establishes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Jun Yang , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The importance sampling (IS) method lies at the core of many Monte Carlo-based techniques. IS allows the approximation of a target probability distribution by drawing samples from a proposal (or importance) distribution, different from the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-21 Manuel A. Vázquez , Joaquín Míguez

The direct sampling method proposed by Walker et al. (JCGS 2011) can generate draws from weighted distributions possibly having intractable normalizing constants. The method may be of interest as a useful tool in situations which require…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Andrew M. Raim

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

In this paper, we propose an adaptive algorithm that iteratively updates both the weights and component parameters of a mixture importance sampling density so as to optimise the importance sampling performances, as measured by an entropy…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-08-18 Olivier Cappé , Randal Douc , Arnaud Guillin , Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

The emergence of big data has led to so-called convergence complexity analysis, which is the study of how Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms behave as the sample size, $n$, and/or the number of parameters, $p$, in the underlying…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-24 Bryant Davis , James P. Hobert

Sparsity has become a key concept for solving of high-dimensional inverse problems using variational regularization techniques. Recently, using similar sparsity-constraints in the Bayesian framework for inverse problems by encoding them in…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-11-18 Felix Lucka

We introduce a novel approach for estimating Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) parameters from collapsed Gibbs samples (CGS), by leveraging the full conditional distributions over the latent variable assignments to efficiently average over…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Yannis Papanikolaou , James R. Foulds , Timothy N. Rubin , Grigorios Tsoumakas