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Background: Over the past few decades, numerous forecasting methods have been proposed in the field of epidemic forecasting. Such methods can be classified into different categories such as deterministic vs. probabilistic, comparative…

Seasonal influenza epidemics cause consistent, considerable, widespread loss annually in terms of economic burden, morbidity, and mortality. With access to accurate and reliable forecasts of a current or upcoming influenza epidemic's…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-02-17 Logan C. Brooks , David C. Farrow , Sangwon Hyun , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Roni Rosenfeld

In order for epidemiological forecasts to be useful for decision-makers the forecasts need to be properly validated and evaluated. Although several metrics fore evaluation have been proposed and used none of them account for the potential…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-01-12 Philip Gerlee , Torbjörn Lundh , Anna Saxne Jöud , Henrik Thorén

Contemporary Epidemiological Surveillance (ES) relies heavily on data analytics. These analytics are critical input for pandemics preparedness networks; however, this input is not integrated into a form suitable for decision makers or…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Svetlana Yanushkevich , Vlad Shmerko

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Epidemic intelligence deals with the detection of disease outbreaks using formal (such as hospital records) and informal sources (such as user-generated text on the web) of information. In this survey, we discuss approaches for epidemic…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-03-15 Aditya Joshi , Sarvnaz Karimi , Ross Sparks , Cecile Paris , C Raina MacIntyre

Event Sequences (EvS) refer to sequential data characterized by irregular sampling intervals and a mix of categorical and numerical features. Accurate classification of these sequences is crucial for various real-life applications,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Dmitry Osin , Igor Udovichenko , Viktor Moskvoretskii , Egor Shvetsov , Evgeny Burnaev

We develop a feedback control method for networked epidemic spreading processes. In contrast to most prior works which consider mean field, open-loop control schemes, the present work develops a novel framework for feedback control of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-23 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring purposes, data on severe cases of influenza in England are…

AI Epidemiology is a framework for governing and explaining advanced AI systems by applying population-level surveillance methods to AI outputs. The approach mirrors the way in which epidemiologists enable public health interventions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Kit Tempest-Walters

Evidence-based knowledge of infectious disease burden, including prevalence, incidence, severity and transmission, in different population strata and locations, and possibly in real time, is crucial to the planning and evaluation of public…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Daniela De Angelis , Anne M. Presanis

Event-based Sensing (EBS) hardware is quickly proliferating while finding foothold in many commercial, industrial, and defense applications. At present, there are a handful of technologically mature systems which produce data streams with…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-20 Jonah P. Sengupta , Mohammad Imran Vakil , Thanh M. Dang , Ian Pardee , Paul Coen , Olivia Aul

In a typical Event-Based Surveillance setting, a stream of web documents is continuously monitored for disease reporting. A structured representation of the disease reporting events is extracted from the raw text, and the events are then…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2011-01-05 Avaré Stewar , Ricardo Lage , Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Peter Dolog

Pandemic influenza has the epidemic potential to kill millions of people. While various preventive measures exist (i.a., vaccination and school closures), deciding on strategies that lead to their most effective and efficient use remains…

Edge computing provides the ability to link distributor users for multimedia content, while retaining the power of significant data storage and access at a centralized computer. Two requirements of significance include: what information…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Seyed Yahya Nikouei , Yu Chen , Alexander Aved , Erik Blasch

The reconstruction of missing information in epidemic spreading on contact networks can be essential in the prevention and containment strategies. The identification and warning of infectious but asymptomatic individuals (i.e., contact…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-11-21 Indaco Biazzo , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Mazza

Bayesian network modelling is a well adapted approach to study messy and highly correlated datasets which are very common in, e.g., systems epidemiology. A popular approach to learn a Bayesian network from an observational datasets is to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-06 Gilles Kratzer , Reinhard Furrer

Forecasting influenza like illnesses (ILI) has rapidly progressed in recent years from an art to a science with a plethora of data-driven methods. While these methods have achieved qualified success, their applicability is limited due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Alexander Rodríguez , Bijaya Adhikari , Naren Ramakrishnan , B. Aditya Prakash

The increasing adoption of data-driven decision-making in public health has established epidemic forecasting as a critical area of research. Recent advances in multivariate forecasting models better capture complex temporal dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Madhurima Panja , Danny D'Agostino , Huitao Li , Tanujit Chakraborty , Nan Liu

A prompt public health response to a new epidemic relies on the ability to monitor and predict its evolution in real time as data accumulate. The 2009 A/H1N1 outbreak in the UK revealed pandemic data as noisy, contaminated, potentially…

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