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It is proposed in the literature that in some complicated problems maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) are not suitable or even do not exist. An alternative to MLE for estimation of the parameters is the Bayesian method. The Markov chain…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-08 Ali Reza Fotouhi

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

In recent years, leveraging parallel and distributed computational resources has become essential to solve problems of high computational cost. Bayesian optimization (BO) has shown attractive results in those expensive-to-evaluate problems…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Masahiro Nomura

Approximate Bayesian computation methods can be used to evaluate posterior distributions without having to calculate likelihoods. In this paper we discuss and apply an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) method based on sequential Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-01-15 Tina Toni , David Welch , Natalja Strelkowa , Andreas Ipsen , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Martin Jankowiak

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

Relevant methods of variable selection have been proposed in model-based clustering and classification. These methods are making use of backward or forward procedures to define the roles of the variables. Unfortunately, these stepwise…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-03 Gilles Celeux , Cathy Maugis-Rabusseau , Mohammed Sedki

The paper revisits the Bayesian group lasso and uses spike and slab priors for group variable selection. In the process, the connection of our model with penalized regression is demonstrated, and the role of posterior median for…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-04 Xiaofan Xu , Malay Ghosh

In this paper we present a novel methodology to perform Bayesian model selection in linear models with heavy-tailed distributions. We consider a finite mixture of distributions to model a latent variable where each component of the mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-21 Flávio B Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Victor H. Lachos

Bayesian model selection procedures based on nonlocal alternative prior densities are extended to ultrahigh dimensional settings and compared to other variable selection procedures using precision-recall curves. Variable selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-19 Minsuk Shin , Anirban Bhattacharya , Valen E. Johnson

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

Variational inference methods have been shown to lead to significant improvements in the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian inference in mixed multinomial logit models when compared to standard Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Filipe Rodrigues

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) has been recently used to perform uncertainty estimation on the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs). However, its widespread application is hindered by significant computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Luis A. Ortega , Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

High-throughput scientific studies involving no clear a'priori hypothesis are common. For example, a large-scale genomic study of a disease may examine thousands of genes without hypothesizing that any specific gene is responsible for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-02 Babak Shahbaba

The recent availability of huge, many-dimensional data sets, like those arising from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), provides many opportunities for strengthening causal inference. One popular approach is to utilize these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-21 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

We aim to produce predictive models that are not only accurate, but are also interpretable to human experts. Our models are decision lists, which consist of a series of if...then... statements (e.g., if high blood pressure, then stroke)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-06 Benjamin Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Tyler H. McCormick , David Madigan

Gaussian and discrete non-Gaussian spatial datasets are common across fields like public health, ecology, geosciences, and social sciences. Bayesian spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are a flexible class of models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Jin Hyung Lee , Ben Seiyon Lee

We present Automatic Laplace Collapsed Sampling (ALCS), a general framework for marginalising latent parameters in Bayesian models using automatic differentiation, which we combine with nested sampling to explore the hyperparameter space in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Toby Lovick , David Yallup , Will Handley