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Time series with multiple periodically correlated components is a complex problem with comparatively limited prior research. Most existing time series models are designed to accommodate simple periodically correlated components and tend to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-29 Jie Yao , Kai Zhang , Eric Rose , Edward Valachovic

Both Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and composite likelihood methods are useful for Bayesian and frequentist inference, respectively, when the likelihood function is intractable. We propose to use composite likelihood score…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-02-25 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

In the era of Big Data, scalable and accurate clustering algorithms for high-dimensional data are essential. We present new Bayesian Distance Clustering (BDC) models and inference algorithms with improved scalability while maintaining the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-02 Rafael Cabral , Maria de Iorio , Andrew Harris

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

There is a rich literature on Bayesian methods for density estimation, which characterize the unknown density as a mixture of kernels. Such methods have advantages in terms of providing uncertainty quantification in estimation, while being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-10 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Antik Chakraborty , David B. Dunson

Two major bottlenecks to the solution of large-scale Bayesian inverse problems are the scaling of posterior sampling algorithms to high-dimensional parameter spaces and the computational cost of forward model evaluations. Yet incomplete or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox

This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). The conceptual and methodological framework that underpins approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is targetted primarily towards problems in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-20 Christopher C Drovandi , Clara Grazian , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian Robert

Practitioners of Bayesian statistics have long depended on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to obtain samples from intractable posterior distributions. Unfortunately, MCMC algorithms are typically serial, and do not scale to the large…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-11 Maxim Rabinovich , Elaine Angelino , Michael I. Jordan

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

Recent advances in big data and analytics research have provided a wealth of large data sets that are too big to be analyzed in their entirety, due to restrictions on computer memory or storage size. New Bayesian methods have been developed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-09-30 Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin Conlon

Coresets are compact representations of data sets such that models trained on a coreset are provably competitive with models trained on the full data set. As such, they have been successfully used to scale up clustering models to massive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-08 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , Andreas Krause

Proximal Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a novel construct that lies at the intersection of Bayesian computation and convex optimization, which helped popularize the use of nondifferentiable priors in Bayesian statistics. Existing formulations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Qiang Heng , Hua Zhou , Eric C. Chi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions in models with unknown or computationally intractable likelihoods. Both the accuracy and computational efficiency of ABC depend on the choice of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-17 Bai Jiang , Tung-yu Wu , Charles Zheng , Wing H. Wong

Social scientists often study how a policy reform impacted a single targeted country. Increasingly, this is done with the synthetic control method (SCM). SCM models the country's counterfactual (non-reform or untreated) trajectory as a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Elias Tuomaala

A key quantity of interest in Bayesian inference are expectations of functions with respect to a posterior distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a fundamental tool to consistently compute these expectations via averaging samples drawn…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-10 Heiko Strathmann , Dino Sejdinovic , Mark Girolami

Divide-and-conquer Bayesian methods consist of three steps: dividing the data into smaller computationally manageable subsets, running a sampling algorithm in parallel on all the subsets, and combining parameter draws from all the subsets.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-01 Chunlei Wang , Sanvesh Srivastava

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

In Bayesian inverse problems, one aims at characterizing the posterior distribution of a set of unknowns, given indirect measurements. For non-linear/non-Gaussian problems, analytic solutions are seldom available: Sequential Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Alessandro Viani , Adam M Johansen , Alberto Sorrentino