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I set up a potential outcomes framework to analyze spillover effects using instrumental variables. I characterize the population compliance types in a setting in which spillovers can occur on both treatment take-up and outcomes, and provide…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-15 Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

The statistical efficiency of randomized clinical trials can be improved by incorporating information from baseline covariates (i.e., pre-treatment patient characteristics). This can be done in the design stage using stratified (permutated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Zhiwei Zhang

This paper studies the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from observational data, in the presence of unobserved confounders. The two-stage least square (TSLS) method and its variants with a standard instrumental variable (IV)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Finding valid instruments is difficult. We propose Validity Set Instrumental Variable (VSIV) estimation, a method for estimating local average treatment effects (LATEs) in heterogeneous causal effect models when the instruments are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-11 Zhenting Sun , Kaspar Wüthrich

Mediation analysis is critical to understanding the mechanisms underlying exposure-outcome relationships. In this paper, we identify the instrumental variable (IV)-direct effect of the exposure on the outcome not through the mediator, using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Kara E Rudolph , Oleg Sofrygin , Mark J van der Laan

The two-stage least-squares (2SLS) estimator is known to be biased when its first-stage fit is poor. I show that better first-stage prediction can alleviate this bias. In a two-stage linear regression model with Normal noise, I consider…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

The causal effect of a randomized job training program, the JOBS II study, on trainees' depression is evaluated. Principal stratification is used to deal with noncompliance to the assigned treatment. Due to the latent nature of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-13 Alessandra Mattei , Fan Li , Fabrizia Mealli

This paper proposes averaging estimation methods to improve the finite-sample efficiency of the instrumental variables quantile regression (IVQR) estimation. First, I apply Cheng, Liao, Shi's (2019) averaging GMM framework to the IVQR…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-10 Xin Liu

Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Wei Li , Jiapeng Liu , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

Instrumental variable (IV) is a powerful approach to inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data even when there exist latent confounders between the treatment and the outcome. However,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Two binary instrumental variables (IVs) are nested if individuals who comply under one binary IV also comply under the other. This situation often arises when the two IVs represent different intensities of encouragement or discouragement to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li , Michael O. Harhay , Bo Zhang

Covariate adjustment and methods of incorporating historical data in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) each provide opportunities to increase trial power. We unite these approaches for the analysis of RCTs with binary outcomes based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-21 Alyssa M. Vanderbeek , Jessica L. Ross , David P. Miller , Alejandro Schuler

Although randomized controlled trials have long been regarded as the ``gold standard'' for evaluating treatment effects, there is no natural prevention from post-treatment events. For example, non-compliance makes the actual treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Qinqing Liu , Xiang Peng , Tao Zhang , Yuhao Deng

A new approach of obtaining stratified random samples from statistically dependent random variables is described. The proposed method can be used to obtain samples from the input space of a computer forward model in estimating expectations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-25 Anirban Mondal , Abhijit Mandal

In test equating, ensuring score comparability across different test forms is crucial but particularly challenging when test groups are non-equivalent and no anchor test is available. Local test equating aims to satisfy Lord's equity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Gabriel Wallin , Marie Wiberg

Randomization, as a key technique in clinical trials, can eliminate sources of bias and produce comparable treatment groups. In randomized experiments, the treatment effect is a parameter of general interest. Researchers have explored the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma , Hanzhong Liu

Numerous variable selection methods rely on a two-stage procedure, where a sparsity-inducing penalty is used in the first stage to predict the support, which is then conveyed to the second stage for estimation or inference purposes. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-28 Jean-Michel Bécu , Yves Grandvalet , Christophe Ambroise , Cyril Dalmasso

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are widely used to infer treatment effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we study nonparametric inference with an IV under a separable binary treatment choice model, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Chan Park , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

While attractive from a theoretical perspective, finely stratified experiments such as paired designs suffer from certain analytical limitations not present in block-randomized experiments with multiple treated and control individuals in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-21 Colin B. Fogarty