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Predictive control approaches based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) have gained significant attention in microgrid energy optimization. However, existing research often overlooks the issue of uncertainty stemming from imperfect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Matthew Forshaw

The objective of this study is to predict road flooding risks based on topographic, hydrologic, and temporal precipitation features using machine learning models. Predictive flood monitoring of road network flooding status plays an…

As climate variability increases, the ability of utility providers to deliver precise Estimated Times of Restoration (ETR) during natural disasters has become increasingly critical. Accurate and timely ETRs are essential for enabling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Bogireddy Sai Prasanna Teja , Valliappan Muthukaruppan , Carls Benjamin

Macroeconomic nowcasting sits at the intersection of traditional econometrics, data-rich information systems, and AI applications in business, economics, and policy. Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly used to nowcast quarterly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-02 Luca Attolico

Predicting forced displacement is an important undertaking of many humanitarian aid agencies, which must anticipate flows in advance in order to provide vulnerable refugees and Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) with shelter, food, and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-01-21 Katherine Hoffmann Pham , Miguel Luengo-Oroz

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Stephen A. Walsh , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Dave Higdon , Stephanie Zick

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Natural disasters ravage the world's cities, valleys, and shores on a regular basis. Deploying precise and efficient computational mechanisms for assessing infrastructure damage is essential to channel resources and minimize the loss of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-01-28 Thomas Y. Chen

Natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes) affect millions of people each year, causing widespread destruction in their wake. People have recently taken to social media websites (e.g., Twitter) to share their sentiments and feelings with the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-04-30 Shrey Desai , Cornelia Caragea , Junyi Jessy Li

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods play an important role in reducing errors in weather forecasting. Conventional approaches in UQ for weather forecasting rely on generating an ensemble of forecasts from physics-based simulations to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Ayush Khot , Xihaier Luo , Ai Kagawa , Shinjae Yoo

Life expectancy is a fundamental indicator of population health and socio-economic well-being, yet accurately forecasting it remains challenging due to the interplay of demographic, environmental, and healthcare factors. This study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Roman Dolgopolyi , Ioanna Amaslidou , Agrippina Margaritou

We consider the problem of short- and medium-term electricity load forecasting by using past loads and daily weather forecast information. Conventionally, many researchers have directly applied regression analysis. However, interpreting the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Kei Hirose

During hurricane seasons, emergency managers and other decision makers need accurate and `on-time' information on potential storm surge impacts. Fully dynamical computer models, such as the ADCIRC tide, storm surge, and wind-wave model take…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-09-26 Anton Bezuglov , Brian Blanton , Reinaldo Santiago

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Electricity forecasting has been a recurring research topic, as it is key to finding the right balance between production and consumption. While most papers are focused on the national or regional scale, few are interested in the household…

In this paper, a multi-stage model for expansion co-planning of transmission lines, Battery Energy Storages (BESs), and Wind Farms (WFs) is presented considering resilience against extreme weather events. In addition to High Voltage…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-10 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Turaj Amraee , Saleh Sadeghi Gougheri

As natural disasters become increasingly frequent, the need for efficient and equitable evacuation planning has become more critical. This paper proposes a data-driven, reinforcement learning-based framework to optimize bus-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Fang Tang , Han Wang , Maria Laura Delle Monache

Accurate assessments of extreme weather events are vital for research and policy, yet localized and granular data remain scarce in many parts of the world. This data gap limits our ability to analyze potential outcomes and implications of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Deeksha Varshney , Keane Ong , Rui Mao , Erik Cambria , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Accurate prediction of extreme weather events remains a major challenge for artificial intelligence-based weather prediction systems. While deterministic models such as FuXi, GraphCast, and SFNO have achieved competitive forecast skill…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-01 Rodrigo Almeida , Noelia Otero , Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres , Jackie Ma