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One-step generative modeling seeks to generate high-quality data samples in a single function evaluation, significantly improving efficiency over traditional diffusion or flow-based models. In this work, we introduce Modular MeanFlow (MMF),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Haochen You , Baojing Liu , Hongyang He

Time series prediction, a crucial task across various domains, faces significant challenges due to the inherent complexities of time series data, including non-stationarity, multi-scale periodicity, and transient dynamics, particularly when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Qianru Zhang , Chenglei Yu , Haixin Wang , Yudong Yan , Yuansheng Cao , Siu-Ming Yiu , Tailin Wu , Hongzhi Yin

Time series data, including univariate and multivariate ones, are characterized by unique composition and complex multi-scale temporal variations. They often require special consideration of decomposition and multi-scale modeling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shuhan Zhong , Sizhe Song , Weipeng Zhuo , Guanyao Li , Yang Liu , S. -H. Gary Chan

Making accurate forecasts for a complex system is a challenge in various practical applications. The major difficulty in solving such a problem concerns nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamics with time-varying characteristics. Takens' delay…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-09 Hao Peng , Wei Wang , Pei Chen , Rui Liu

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven and model-free decomposition technique. It is suitable for revealing spatio-temporal features of both numerically and experimentally acquired data. Conceptually, DMD performs a…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-12-18 Tim Krake , Stefan Reinhardt , Marcel Hlawatsch , Bernhard Eberhardt , Daniel Weiskopf

Time series forecasting (TSF) is crucial in fields like economic forecasting, weather prediction, traffic flow analysis, and public health surveillance. Real-world time series data often include noise, outliers, and missing values, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Quangao Liu , Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Wei Yang , Chen Liang , LongLong Pang , Zhuozhang Zou

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

We consider nonnegative time series forecasting framework. Based on recent advances in Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) and Archetypal Analysis, we introduce two procedures referred to as Sliding Mask Method (SMM) and Latent Clustered…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-11 Yohann de Castro , Luca Mencarelli

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has become a powerful data-driven method for analyzing the spatiotemporal dynamics of complex, high-dimensional systems. However, conventional DMD methods are limited to matrix-based formulations, which…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-05 Ziqin He , Mengqi Hu , Yifei Lou , Can Chen

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) has a decisive influence on India's agricultural output and economy. Extreme deviations from the normal seasonal amount of rainfall can cause severe droughts or floods, affecting Indian food…

Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Time series forecasting is a long-standing problem in statistics and machine learning. One of the key challenges is processing sequences with long-range dependencies. To that end, a recent line of work applied the short-time Fourier…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Eyal Yakir , Dor Tsur , Haim Permuter

Long time series forecasting aims to utilize historical information to forecast future states over extended horizons. Traditional RNN-based series forecasting methods struggle to effectively address long-term dependencies and gradient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 GaoXiang Zhao , Li Zhou , XiaoQiang Wang

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a popular technique for modal decomposition, flow analysis, and reduced-order modeling. In situations where a system is time varying, one would like to update the system's description online as time…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-07-11 Hao Zhang , Clarence W. Rowley , Eric A. Deem , Louis N. Cattafesta

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) aims to learn temporal dynamics among variables to forecast future time series. Existing statistical and deep learning-based methods suffer from limited learnable parameters and small-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Chenxi Liu , Qianxiong Xu , Hao Miao , Sun Yang , Lingzheng Zhang , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao

Many vision-related tasks benefit from reasoning over multiple modalities to leverage complementary views of data in an attempt to learn robust embedding spaces. Most deep learning-based methods rely on a late fusion technique whereby…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-04 Austin Reiter , Menglin Jia , Pu Yang , Ser-Nam Lim