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A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Guowei Zhang , Tao Ren , Yifan Yang

To address the complexity of financial time series, this paper proposes a forecasting model combining sliding window and variational mode decomposition (VMD) methods. Historical stock prices and relevant market indicators are used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-22 Luke Li

Accurate electricity demand forecasting is challenging due to the strong multi-periodicity of real-world demand series, which makes effective modeling of recurrent temporal patterns crucial. Decomposition techniques make such structure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Weibin Feng , Ran Tao , John Cartlidge , Jin Zheng

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Mingyuan Xia , Chunxu Zhang , Zijian Zhang , Hao Miao , Qidong Liu , Yuanshao Zhu , Bo Yang

The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and its variants have been extensively employed in the load and renewable forecasting literature. Using this multiresolution decomposition, time series (TS) related to the historical load and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-24 Nima Safari , George Price , Chi Yung Chung

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

Time series generation focuses on modeling the underlying data distribution and resampling to produce authentic time series data. Key components, such as trend and seasonality, drive temporal fluctuations, yet many existing approaches fail…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Zixuan Ma , Chenfeng Huang

Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Yining Pang , Chenghan Li

Transformer-based and MLP-based methods have emerged as leading approaches in time series forecasting (TSF). While Transformer-based methods excel in capturing long-range dependencies, they suffer from high computational complexities and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai

The intrinsic mode function (IMF) provides adaptive function bases for nonlinear and non-stationary time series data. A fast convergent iterative method is introduced in this paper to find the IMF components of the data, the method is…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2008-09-11 Louis Yu Lu

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

Time-frequency representation (TFR) allowing for mode reconstruction plays a significant role in interpreting and analyzing the nonstationary signal constituted of various modes. However, it is difficult for most previous methods to handle…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-01 Haijian Zhang , Guang Hua

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

An efficient method is introduced in this paper to find the intrinsic mode function (IMF) components of time series data. This method is faster and more predictable than the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method devised by the author of…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2007-11-14 Louis Yu Lu

We introduce a model-agnostic forward diffusion process for time-series forecasting that decomposes signals into spectral components, preserving structured temporal patterns such as seasonality more effectively than standard diffusion.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Francisco Caldas , Sahil Kumar , Cláudia Soares

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as weather, traffic, electricity, and energy predictions. Currently, common time series forecasting methods are based on Transformers. However, existing approaches primarily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Zixu Wang , Hongbin Dong , Xiaoping Zhang

Signal decomposition is an effective tool to assist the identification of modal information in time-domain signals. Two signal decomposition methods, including the empirical wavelet transform (EWT) and Fourier decomposition method (FDM),…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-31 Wei Zhou , Zhongren Feng , Y. F. Xu , Xiongjiang Wang , Hao Lv

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Time series forecasting presents significant challenges in real-world applications across various domains. Building upon the decomposition of the time series, we enhance the architecture of machine learning models for better multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Sanjeev Panta , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng
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